State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Ohio, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1983, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 1.2.
During 1983-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 0.4.
During 1994-2007, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.
During 2007-2019, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.3.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 673.8. The estimated rate was 676.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 684.7. The estimated rate was 683.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 689.2. The estimated rate was 689.5.
In 1978, the observed rate was 697.1. The estimated rate was 695.9.
In 1979, the observed rate was 701.5. The estimated rate was 702.5.
In 1980, the observed rate was 718.1. The estimated rate was 709.1.
In 1981, the observed rate was 710.1. The estimated rate was 715.8.
In 1982, the observed rate was 716.9. The estimated rate was 722.5.
In 1983, the observed rate was 733.4. The estimated rate was 729.3.
In 1984, the observed rate was 738.6. The estimated rate was 731.1.
In 1985, the observed rate was 733.0. The estimated rate was 732.9.
In 1986, the observed rate was 735.3. The estimated rate was 734.6.
In 1987, the observed rate was 732.6. The estimated rate was 736.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 729.9. The estimated rate was 738.2.
In 1989, the observed rate was 732.2. The estimated rate was 740.0.
In 1990, the observed rate was 746.8. The estimated rate was 741.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 748.7. The estimated rate was 743.6.
In 1992, the observed rate was 739.5. The estimated rate was 745.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 751.9. The estimated rate was 747.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 744.5. The estimated rate was 749.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 744.2. The estimated rate was 741.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 740.2. The estimated rate was 733.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 716.7. The estimated rate was 726.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 716.0. The estimated rate was 718.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 717.5. The estimated rate was 711.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 704.6. The estimated rate was 703.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 695.1. The estimated rate was 696.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 696.0. The estimated rate was 689.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 685.1. The estimated rate was 682.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 675.8. The estimated rate was 675.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 661.8. The estimated rate was 668.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 659.5. The estimated rate was 661.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 658.6. The estimated rate was 654.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 641.9. The estimated rate was 644.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 632.9. The estimated rate was 635.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 623.8. The estimated rate was 626.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 618.5. The estimated rate was 617.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 610.5. The estimated rate was 609.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 592.7. The estimated rate was 600.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 594.0. The estimated rate was 591.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 587.8. The estimated rate was 583.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 581.4. The estimated rate was 575.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 573.8. The estimated rate was 567.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 555.0. The estimated rate was 559.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 545.0. The estimated rate was 551.1.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/22/2022 1:44 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.