Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2022)
Mortality, Oregon, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both SexesMortality, Oregon, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 33 years and 1 segmentsDuring 1990-2022, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.2.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 296.9. The estimated rate was 284.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 201.5. The estimated rate was 279.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 270.6. The estimated rate was 275.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 321.9. The estimated rate was 270.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 291.4. The estimated rate was 265.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 274.2. The estimated rate was 261.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 269.6. The estimated rate was 257.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 242.5. The estimated rate was 252.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 227.6. The estimated rate was 248.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 248.7. The estimated rate was 244.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 219.4. The estimated rate was 240.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 208.1. The estimated rate was 236.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 267.1. The estimated rate was 232.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 231.9. The estimated rate was 228.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 241.4. The estimated rate was 224.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 212.1. The estimated rate was 220.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 167.0. The estimated rate was 216.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 189.2. The estimated rate was 213.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 201.6. The estimated rate was 209.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 194.6. The estimated rate was 206.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 216.2. The estimated rate was 202.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 212.1. The estimated rate was 199.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 236.0. The estimated rate was 195.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 217.0. The estimated rate was 192.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 172.4. The estimated rate was 189.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 192.0. The estimated rate was 186.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 186.8. The estimated rate was 182.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 159.2. The estimated rate was 179.7.
In 2018, the observed rate was 195.9. The estimated rate was 176.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 159.8. The estimated rate was 173.7.
In 2020, the observed rate was 147.4. The estimated rate was 170.8.
In 2021, the observed rate was 176.2. The estimated rate was 167.9.
In 2022, the observed rate was 165.7. The estimated rate was 165.1.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 02/08/2025 2:26 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.