State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Oregon, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.4.
During 2002-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 700.7. The estimated rate was 708.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 701.2. The estimated rate was 704.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 697.9. The estimated rate was 700.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 710.9. The estimated rate was 695.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 685.0. The estimated rate was 691.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 699.0. The estimated rate was 687.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 681.4. The estimated rate was 683.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 676.8. The estimated rate was 679.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 681.7. The estimated rate was 675.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 668.5. The estimated rate was 671.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 659.7. The estimated rate was 667.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 660.8. The estimated rate was 663.1.
In 2002, the observed rate was 660.4. The estimated rate was 659.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 650.8. The estimated rate was 648.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 638.6. The estimated rate was 638.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 627.7. The estimated rate was 628.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 610.8. The estimated rate was 619.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 606.5. The estimated rate was 609.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 599.2. The estimated rate was 599.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 582.0. The estimated rate was 590.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 582.9. The estimated rate was 581.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 582.9. The estimated rate was 572.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 571.2. The estimated rate was 563.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 556.6. The estimated rate was 554.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 543.2. The estimated rate was 545.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 548.5. The estimated rate was 537.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 533.4. The estimated rate was 529.0.
In 2017, the observed rate was 523.5. The estimated rate was 520.7.
In 2018, the observed rate was 508.5. The estimated rate was 512.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 492.4. The estimated rate was 504.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 495.5. The estimated rate was 496.7.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/25/2024 3:43 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.