Return to Home Historical Trends > Interpret

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Pennsylvania, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Pennsylvania, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 2 segments
During 1975-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.0.
During 1992-2019, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 266.5. The estimated rate was 275.9.
In 1976, the observed rate was 284.5. The estimated rate was 277.9.
In 1977, the observed rate was 296.2. The estimated rate was 279.9.
In 1978, the observed rate was 276.3. The estimated rate was 281.8.
In 1979, the observed rate was 281.6. The estimated rate was 283.8.
In 1980, the observed rate was 280.5. The estimated rate was 285.8.
In 1981, the observed rate was 292.8. The estimated rate was 287.8.
In 1982, the observed rate was 284.6. The estimated rate was 289.9.
In 1983, the observed rate was 286.5. The estimated rate was 291.9.
In 1984, the observed rate was 295.3. The estimated rate was 294.0.
In 1985, the observed rate was 298.4. The estimated rate was 296.0.
In 1986, the observed rate was 297.0. The estimated rate was 298.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 307.8. The estimated rate was 300.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 293.2. The estimated rate was 302.3.
In 1989, the observed rate was 304.6. The estimated rate was 304.5.
In 1990, the observed rate was 309.1. The estimated rate was 306.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 303.1. The estimated rate was 308.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 310.4. The estimated rate was 311.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 308.5. The estimated rate was 305.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 293.6. The estimated rate was 299.4.
In 1995, the observed rate was 283.1. The estimated rate was 293.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 285.6. The estimated rate was 288.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 291.8. The estimated rate was 282.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 280.7. The estimated rate was 277.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 284.9. The estimated rate was 272.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 263.0. The estimated rate was 267.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 262.0. The estimated rate was 262.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 258.4. The estimated rate was 257.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 258.0. The estimated rate was 252.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 239.7. The estimated rate was 247.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 238.6. The estimated rate was 243.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 242.5. The estimated rate was 238.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 231.1. The estimated rate was 234.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 217.7. The estimated rate was 229.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 231.9. The estimated rate was 225.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 226.1. The estimated rate was 221.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 221.2. The estimated rate was 216.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 220.0. The estimated rate was 212.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 213.6. The estimated rate was 208.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 208.2. The estimated rate was 204.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 198.6. The estimated rate was 201.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 197.9. The estimated rate was 197.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 196.0. The estimated rate was 193.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 183.5. The estimated rate was 189.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 177.4. The estimated rate was 186.3.

Notes: