Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, Rhode Island, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both SexesMortality, Rhode Island, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 31 years and 1 segmentsDuring 1990-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -3.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 384.5. The estimated rate was 369.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 324.2. The estimated rate was 355.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 334.8. The estimated rate was 341.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 389.4. The estimated rate was 327.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 304.0. The estimated rate was 314.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 321.2. The estimated rate was 302.1.
In 1996, the observed rate was 245.2. The estimated rate was 290.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 280.3. The estimated rate was 278.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 265.0. The estimated rate was 267.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 227.7. The estimated rate was 257.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 248.3. The estimated rate was 246.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 235.7. The estimated rate was 237.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 239.5. The estimated rate was 227.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 209.0. The estimated rate was 218.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 262.3. The estimated rate was 209.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 229.3. The estimated rate was 201.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 184.2. The estimated rate was 193.6.
In 2007, the observed rate was 184.8. The estimated rate was 185.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 170.5. The estimated rate was 178.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 171.9. The estimated rate was 171.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 155.5. The estimated rate was 164.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 166.1. The estimated rate was 158.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 107.3. The estimated rate was 151.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 97.0. The estimated rate was 145.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 135.0. The estimated rate was 140.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 136.8. The estimated rate was 134.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 118.2. The estimated rate was 129.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 120.4. The estimated rate was 124.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 133.2. The estimated rate was 119.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 134.3. The estimated rate was 114.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 121.6. The estimated rate was 109.8.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/03/2024 6:24 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.