State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Tennessee, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, Tennessee, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2005, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.6.
During 2005-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 304.2. The estimated rate was 309.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 300.9. The estimated rate was 306.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 304.5. The estimated rate was 303.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 301.9. The estimated rate was 301.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 299.4. The estimated rate was 298.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 301.1. The estimated rate was 296.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 293.7. The estimated rate was 293.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 293.2. The estimated rate was 290.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 289.7. The estimated rate was 288.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 286.4. The estimated rate was 285.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 287.6. The estimated rate was 283.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 281.1. The estimated rate was 280.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 281.4. The estimated rate was 278.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 274.0. The estimated rate was 276.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 267.4. The estimated rate was 273.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 268.4. The estimated rate was 271.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 264.5. The estimated rate was 266.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 261.2. The estimated rate was 261.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 254.5. The estimated rate was 256.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 252.5. The estimated rate was 251.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 250.9. The estimated rate was 246.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 238.5. The estimated rate was 241.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 237.0. The estimated rate was 237.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 233.2. The estimated rate was 232.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 230.1. The estimated rate was 228.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 225.0. The estimated rate was 224.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 225.1. The estimated rate was 219.7.
In 2017, the observed rate was 217.3. The estimated rate was 215.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 202.3. The estimated rate was 211.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 206.7. The estimated rate was 207.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 202.4. The estimated rate was 203.5.
In 2021, the observed rate was 198.3. The estimated rate was 199.7.
In 2022, the observed rate was 199.3. The estimated rate was 195.9.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/22/2024 3:59 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.1).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.