State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Tennessee, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 3 segments
During 1990-2008, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -7.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.2 to -0.7.
During 2008-2015, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 8.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -13.1 to 28.1.
During 2015-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.9 to 2.4.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 169.9. The estimated rate was 193.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 102.5. The estimated rate was 179.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 198.6. The estimated rate was 166.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 116.8. The estimated rate was 154.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 202.3. The estimated rate was 143.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 139.4. The estimated rate was 133.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 145.4. The estimated rate was 123.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 115.0. The estimated rate was 114.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 126.6. The estimated rate was 106.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 77.3. The estimated rate was 98.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 85.9. The estimated rate was 91.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 87.0. The estimated rate was 84.9.
In 2002, the observed rate was 77.1. The estimated rate was 78.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 46.2. The estimated rate was 73.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 53.5. The estimated rate was 67.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 82.6. The estimated rate was 62.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 67.0. The estimated rate was 58.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 58.1. The estimated rate was 54.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 44.0. The estimated rate was 50.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 53.0. The estimated rate was 54.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 63.1. The estimated rate was 58.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 56.5. The estimated rate was 63.3.
In 2012, the observed rate was 78.8. The estimated rate was 68.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 49.6. The estimated rate was 74.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 83.7. The estimated rate was 79.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 93.6. The estimated rate was 86.4.
In 2016, the observed rate was 92.5. The estimated rate was 84.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 75.3. The estimated rate was 82.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 74.4. The estimated rate was 81.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 76.8. The estimated rate was 79.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 81.0. The estimated rate was 77.7.
In 2021, the observed rate was 79.5. The estimated rate was 76.1.
In 2022, the observed rate was 73.4. The estimated rate was 74.5.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/06/2024 10:55 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.1).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.