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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2016)

Mortality, Tennessee, Lung & Bronchus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Tennessee, Lung & Bronchus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 42 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1989, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.8 to 3.4.
During 1989-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.2.
During 2005-2016, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 42.1. The estimated rate was 44.5.
In 1976, the observed rate was 45.9. The estimated rate was 45.9.
In 1977, the observed rate was 48.3. The estimated rate was 47.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 48.3. The estimated rate was 48.8.
In 1979, the observed rate was 50.5. The estimated rate was 50.3.
In 1980, the observed rate was 52.9. The estimated rate was 51.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 53.1. The estimated rate was 53.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 58.0. The estimated rate was 55.2.
In 1983, the observed rate was 57.1. The estimated rate was 56.9.
In 1984, the observed rate was 58.1. The estimated rate was 58.7.
In 1985, the observed rate was 59.8. The estimated rate was 60.5.
In 1986, the observed rate was 62.4. The estimated rate was 62.4.
In 1987, the observed rate was 65.8. The estimated rate was 64.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 64.9. The estimated rate was 66.4.
In 1989, the observed rate was 66.2. The estimated rate was 68.5.
In 1990, the observed rate was 69.9. The estimated rate was 68.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 66.6. The estimated rate was 68.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 69.1. The estimated rate was 68.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 68.2. The estimated rate was 68.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 70.7. The estimated rate was 68.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 68.9. The estimated rate was 68.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 69.4. The estimated rate was 68.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 69.6. The estimated rate was 68.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 69.2. The estimated rate was 68.8.
In 1999, the observed rate was 67.2. The estimated rate was 68.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 68.8. The estimated rate was 68.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 68.9. The estimated rate was 68.9.
In 2002, the observed rate was 69.4. The estimated rate was 68.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 67.4. The estimated rate was 68.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 68.0. The estimated rate was 69.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 69.8. The estimated rate was 69.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 67.8. The estimated rate was 67.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 65.8. The estimated rate was 65.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 63.5. The estimated rate was 64.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 63.5. The estimated rate was 62.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 62.4. The estimated rate was 61.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 59.4. The estimated rate was 60.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 58.7. The estimated rate was 58.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 56.5. The estimated rate was 57.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 56.7. The estimated rate was 55.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 54.4. The estimated rate was 54.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 53.3. The estimated rate was 53.4.

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