State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Tennessee, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, Tennessee, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 3 segments
During 1990-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.0.
During 2002-2016, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.7.
During 2016-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.4.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 733.7. The estimated rate was 734.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 722.8. The estimated rate was 732.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 724.5. The estimated rate was 731.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 729.7. The estimated rate was 729.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 738.3. The estimated rate was 727.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 736.1. The estimated rate was 726.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 727.0. The estimated rate was 724.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 724.5. The estimated rate was 722.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 727.1. The estimated rate was 721.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 709.3. The estimated rate was 719.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 726.1. The estimated rate was 717.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 705.5. The estimated rate was 716.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 714.5. The estimated rate was 714.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 707.0. The estimated rate was 705.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 692.8. The estimated rate was 697.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 696.5. The estimated rate was 688.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 683.0. The estimated rate was 680.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 672.4. The estimated rate was 672.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 656.7. The estimated rate was 663.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 655.7. The estimated rate was 655.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 649.2. The estimated rate was 647.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 632.1. The estimated rate was 639.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 630.3. The estimated rate was 631.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 624.9. The estimated rate was 624.1.
In 2014, the observed rate was 621.3. The estimated rate was 616.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 610.3. The estimated rate was 608.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 611.1. The estimated rate was 601.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 590.2. The estimated rate was 590.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 568.2. The estimated rate was 579.8.
In 2019, the observed rate was 566.7. The estimated rate was 569.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 556.6. The estimated rate was 558.9.
In 2021, the observed rate was 550.5. The estimated rate was 548.7.
In 2022, the observed rate was 543.3. The estimated rate was 538.7.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/09/2025 4:33 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.