Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, Texas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, MaleMortality, Texas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male
Line graph with 31 years and 2 segmentsDuring 1990-1993, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 2.2.
During 1993-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.9.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 284.2. The estimated rate was 279.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 275.4. The estimated rate was 280.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 277.9. The estimated rate was 282.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 286.8. The estimated rate was 283.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 278.5. The estimated rate was 278.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 271.7. The estimated rate was 272.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 266.0. The estimated rate was 267.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 264.3. The estimated rate was 262.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 255.5. The estimated rate was 257.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 251.5. The estimated rate was 252.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 248.3. The estimated rate was 247.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 245.1. The estimated rate was 242.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 243.0. The estimated rate was 237.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 233.0. The estimated rate was 233.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 230.1. The estimated rate was 228.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 226.0. The estimated rate was 224.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 219.8. The estimated rate was 219.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 212.8. The estimated rate was 215.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 209.0. The estimated rate was 211.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 202.2. The estimated rate was 207.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 204.2. The estimated rate was 203.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 199.0. The estimated rate was 199.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 196.2. The estimated rate was 195.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 193.8. The estimated rate was 191.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 187.5. The estimated rate was 187.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 181.4. The estimated rate was 184.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 182.1. The estimated rate was 180.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 177.3. The estimated rate was 177.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 172.5. The estimated rate was 173.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 170.8. The estimated rate was 170.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 167.6. The estimated rate was 166.9.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 7:20 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.