State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Texas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 3 segments
During 1990-1993, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 1.7.
During 1993-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.9.
During 2001-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 701.3. The estimated rate was 696.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 694.6. The estimated rate was 700.1.
In 1992, the observed rate was 700.1. The estimated rate was 703.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 709.3. The estimated rate was 707.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 704.5. The estimated rate was 699.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 690.9. The estimated rate was 691.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 685.0. The estimated rate was 682.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 673.8. The estimated rate was 674.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 659.9. The estimated rate was 666.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 658.1. The estimated rate was 658.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 651.7. The estimated rate was 651.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 644.1. The estimated rate was 643.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 643.3. The estimated rate was 632.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 624.0. The estimated rate was 622.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 611.3. The estimated rate was 611.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 599.6. The estimated rate was 601.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 591.9. The estimated rate was 591.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 576.3. The estimated rate was 581.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 569.9. The estimated rate was 572.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 551.6. The estimated rate was 562.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 553.7. The estimated rate was 553.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 546.3. The estimated rate was 544.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 540.2. The estimated rate was 534.9.
In 2013, the observed rate was 528.0. The estimated rate was 526.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 517.2. The estimated rate was 517.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 505.8. The estimated rate was 508.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 502.9. The estimated rate was 500.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 493.1. The estimated rate was 491.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 480.4. The estimated rate was 483.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 475.9. The estimated rate was 475.7.
In 2020, the observed rate was 469.5. The estimated rate was 467.7.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/26/2024 5:18 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.