Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2022)
Mortality, Texas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both SexesMortality, Texas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes
Line graph with 33 years and 4 segmentsDuring 1990-1993, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.7.
During 1993-2002, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.9.
During 2002-2007, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.7.
During 2007-2022, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.3.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 701.3. The estimated rate was 696.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 694.6. The estimated rate was 700.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 700.1. The estimated rate was 703.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 709.3. The estimated rate was 706.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 704.5. The estimated rate was 698.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 690.9. The estimated rate was 690.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 685.0. The estimated rate was 682.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 673.8. The estimated rate was 675.1.
In 1998, the observed rate was 659.9. The estimated rate was 667.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 658.1. The estimated rate was 659.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 651.7. The estimated rate was 652.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 644.1. The estimated rate was 644.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 643.3. The estimated rate was 637.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 624.0. The estimated rate was 624.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 611.3. The estimated rate was 612.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 599.6. The estimated rate was 600.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 591.9. The estimated rate was 588.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 576.3. The estimated rate was 576.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 569.9. The estimated rate was 568.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 551.6. The estimated rate was 560.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 554.1. The estimated rate was 553.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 548.1. The estimated rate was 545.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 543.4. The estimated rate was 538.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 532.5. The estimated rate was 530.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 523.0. The estimated rate was 523.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 512.7. The estimated rate was 516.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 511.1. The estimated rate was 509.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 502.6. The estimated rate was 502.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 491.0. The estimated rate was 495.4.
In 2019, the observed rate was 487.8. The estimated rate was 488.7.
In 2020, the observed rate was 481.2. The estimated rate was 482.0.
In 2021, the observed rate was 475.4. The estimated rate was 475.4.
In 2022, the observed rate was 472.0. The estimated rate was 468.9.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 02/14/2025 10:43 pm.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.