State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Texas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 4 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.8.
During 1994-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.6.
During 2002-2009, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.6.
During 2009-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -1.1.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 1,129.7. The estimated rate was 1,120.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 1,114.8. The estimated rate was 1,130.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 1,138.5. The estimated rate was 1,139.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 1,162.7. The estimated rate was 1,149.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 1,164.3. The estimated rate was 1,159.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 1,145.1. The estimated rate was 1,148.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 1,139.2. The estimated rate was 1,138.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 1,129.3. The estimated rate was 1,128.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 1,103.7. The estimated rate was 1,117.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 1,104.2. The estimated rate was 1,107.5.
In 2000, the observed rate was 1,101.8. The estimated rate was 1,097.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 1,082.8. The estimated rate was 1,087.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 1,087.1. The estimated rate was 1,077.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 1,057.8. The estimated rate was 1,057.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 1,035.7. The estimated rate was 1,038.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 1,019.5. The estimated rate was 1,019.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 1,004.8. The estimated rate was 1,000.6.
In 2007, the observed rate was 978.4. The estimated rate was 982.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 968.2. The estimated rate was 964.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 938.1. The estimated rate was 946.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 942.0. The estimated rate was 935.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 927.5. The estimated rate was 923.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 916.9. The estimated rate was 912.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 908.6. The estimated rate was 901.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 883.8. The estimated rate was 889.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 873.8. The estimated rate was 879.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 867.3. The estimated rate was 868.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 854.3. The estimated rate was 857.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 834.8. The estimated rate was 847.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 838.2. The estimated rate was 836.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 826.4. The estimated rate was 826.3.
In 2021, the observed rate was 816.2. The estimated rate was 816.1.
In 2022, the observed rate was 814.5. The estimated rate was 806.1.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/24/2025 4:04 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.