Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, Virginia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both SexesMortality, Virginia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes
Line graph with 31 years and 2 segmentsDuring 1990-2000, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.5.
During 2000-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.7.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 741.1. The estimated rate was 748.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 748.0. The estimated rate was 743.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 731.1. The estimated rate was 737.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 739.2. The estimated rate was 731.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 736.8. The estimated rate was 725.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 718.0. The estimated rate was 720.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 713.1. The estimated rate was 714.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 705.9. The estimated rate was 709.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 692.4. The estimated rate was 703.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 701.9. The estimated rate was 698.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 694.9. The estimated rate was 692.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 670.5. The estimated rate was 680.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 673.7. The estimated rate was 668.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 665.5. The estimated rate was 657.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 637.6. The estimated rate was 646.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 638.8. The estimated rate was 634.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 624.7. The estimated rate was 623.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 619.5. The estimated rate was 613.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 601.3. The estimated rate was 602.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 594.7. The estimated rate was 592.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 577.7. The estimated rate was 581.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 576.4. The estimated rate was 571.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 554.9. The estimated rate was 561.9.
In 2013, the observed rate was 546.2. The estimated rate was 552.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 543.8. The estimated rate was 542.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 539.5. The estimated rate was 533.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 528.2. The estimated rate was 524.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 516.0. The estimated rate was 515.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 505.7. The estimated rate was 506.2.
In 2019, the observed rate was 488.0. The estimated rate was 497.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 493.0. The estimated rate was 488.8.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/28/2024 4:09 pm.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.