State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Washington, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2003, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.3.
During 2003-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 686.0. The estimated rate was 694.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 686.2. The estimated rate was 690.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 689.0. The estimated rate was 686.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 703.1. The estimated rate was 682.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 677.5. The estimated rate was 678.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 676.1. The estimated rate was 674.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 670.5. The estimated rate was 670.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 651.5. The estimated rate was 667.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 657.4. The estimated rate was 663.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 670.4. The estimated rate was 659.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 658.2. The estimated rate was 655.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 656.4. The estimated rate was 651.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 641.6. The estimated rate was 647.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 643.5. The estimated rate was 644.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 625.9. The estimated rate was 632.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 612.9. The estimated rate was 621.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 594.9. The estimated rate was 611.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 607.2. The estimated rate was 600.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 596.0. The estimated rate was 590.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 594.5. The estimated rate was 580.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 575.4. The estimated rate was 570.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 567.6. The estimated rate was 560.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 548.8. The estimated rate was 550.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 530.0. The estimated rate was 540.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 528.0. The estimated rate was 531.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 537.8. The estimated rate was 522.4.
In 2016, the observed rate was 518.1. The estimated rate was 513.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 503.1. The estimated rate was 504.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 492.6. The estimated rate was 495.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 487.0. The estimated rate was 487.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 469.9. The estimated rate was 478.7.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/19/2024 8:03 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.