State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2019)

Mortality, West Virginia, All Cancer Sites, White Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, West Virginia, All Cancer Sites, White Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 30 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1998, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.5.
During 1998-2019, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 220.3. The estimated rate was 226.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 229.2. The estimated rate was 226.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 227.3. The estimated rate was 226.7.
In 1993, the observed rate was 231.4. The estimated rate was 226.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 228.4. The estimated rate was 226.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 228.6. The estimated rate was 226.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 222.3. The estimated rate was 226.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 227.3. The estimated rate was 226.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 224.2. The estimated rate was 226.8.
In 1999, the observed rate was 224.4. The estimated rate was 224.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 223.6. The estimated rate was 221.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 219.1. The estimated rate was 219.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 215.3. The estimated rate was 216.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 211.7. The estimated rate was 214.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 213.8. The estimated rate was 212.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 208.8. The estimated rate was 209.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 206.0. The estimated rate was 207.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 205.2. The estimated rate was 204.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 198.5. The estimated rate was 202.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 204.6. The estimated rate was 200.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 198.5. The estimated rate was 198.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 200.5. The estimated rate was 195.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 192.1. The estimated rate was 193.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 191.1. The estimated rate was 191.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 196.1. The estimated rate was 189.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 190.5. The estimated rate was 187.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 182.8. The estimated rate was 185.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 179.7. The estimated rate was 183.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 179.9. The estimated rate was 181.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 176.1. The estimated rate was 179.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/02/2022 4:03 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.