Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, Wisconsin, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both SexesMortality, Wisconsin, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 31 years and 1 segmentsDuring 1990-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.8.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 322.0. The estimated rate was 294.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 265.1. The estimated rate was 291.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 277.2. The estimated rate was 288.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 278.6. The estimated rate was 285.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 295.2. The estimated rate was 282.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 278.1. The estimated rate was 279.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 284.5. The estimated rate was 276.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 264.0. The estimated rate was 273.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 290.1. The estimated rate was 270.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 249.7. The estimated rate was 267.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 282.0. The estimated rate was 265.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 253.5. The estimated rate was 262.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 236.5. The estimated rate was 259.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 259.9. The estimated rate was 256.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 255.1. The estimated rate was 254.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 258.0. The estimated rate was 251.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 254.8. The estimated rate was 248.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 232.9. The estimated rate was 246.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 259.2. The estimated rate was 243.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 224.8. The estimated rate was 241.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 247.6. The estimated rate was 238.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 234.1. The estimated rate was 236.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 234.1. The estimated rate was 233.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 249.5. The estimated rate was 231.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 233.5. The estimated rate was 228.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 206.9. The estimated rate was 226.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 233.5. The estimated rate was 224.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 215.3. The estimated rate was 221.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 212.2. The estimated rate was 219.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 215.8. The estimated rate was 217.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 220.5. The estimated rate was 214.9.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 10:58 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.