Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
All Cancer Sites (All Stages^), 2015-2019
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Recentaapc
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 449.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 449.1 to 449.7 and 1,728,431 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 0.2.
Indiana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 456.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 454.6 to 458.9 and 35,999 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (25, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -1.7.
South Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 443.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 441.4 to 446.2 and 28,333 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (35, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -1.1.
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 382.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 380.6 to 384.3 and 33,179 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (49, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -0.6.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 454.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 452.7 to 456.8 and 38,547 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (26, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to 0.1.
Florida6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 460.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 459.4 to 461.6 and 134,730 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (23, 27)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -0.3.
Pennsylvania6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 476.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 475.3 to 478.3 and 80,256 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (9, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -0.1.
Alaska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 417.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 410.0 to 424.1 and 3,022 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (40, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.2.
Delaware6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 474.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 469.1 to 480.3 and 6,008 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (7, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.9.
Michigan6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 446.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 445.0 to 448.4 and 56,208 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (34, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.9.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 374.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 370.6 to 377.5 and 9,627 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (50, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.9.
Washington1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 441.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 439.2 to 443.3 and 37,988 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (37, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 516.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 513.2 to 518.8 and 27,998 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 1)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.1.
Oregon6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 428.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 425.8 to 431.0 and 22,327 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (39, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.7.
Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 409.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 407.6 to 411.2 and 40,801 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (43, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.6.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 402.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 401.6 to 403.3 and 174,350 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (46, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.3.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 465.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 463.6 to 466.8 and 70,185 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (20, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.5.
Rhode Island6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 476.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 470.8 to 481.6 and 6,407 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (7, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.6.
Vermont6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 457.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 450.3 to 463.8 and 3,903 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (21, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.5.
Wyoming6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 405.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 398.9 to 412.7 and 2,846 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (42, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.5.
Alabama6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 451.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 449.3 to 454.2 and 27,407 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (28, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.3.
Missouri6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 453.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 451.0 to 455.4 and 34,317 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (27, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.5.
New Hampshire6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 482.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 478.2 to 487.7 and 8,695 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (2, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.6.
Colorado6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 396.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 394.1 to 398.6 and 24,436 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (47, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.0.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 448.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 444.2 to 452.8 and 8,879 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (28, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.6.
Kansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 459.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 456.1 to 462.7 and 15,621 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (23, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.4.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 488.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 487.0 to 490.8 and 53,473 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.5.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 484.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 483.6 to 486.1 and 116,044 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (4, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.4.
North Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 469.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 468.2 to 471.7 and 58,411 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (13, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.4.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 471.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 468.5 to 474.3 and 21,622 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (11, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.0.
District of Columbia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 416.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 410.0 to 424.0 and 2,855 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (40, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to 3.6.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 416.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 412.5 to 421.2 and 7,537 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (40, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.2.
Maryland6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 454.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 451.9 to 456.4 and 32,515 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (26, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.3.
Montana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 466.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 461.0 to 471.7 and 6,455 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (13, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.2.
South Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 452.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 446.4 to 458.3 and 4,749 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (24, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.2.
Tennessee6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 466.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 464.4 to 468.7 and 38,326 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (18, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.3.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 407.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 403.8 to 410.6 and 11,212 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (43, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to -0.2.
North Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 454.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 447.8 to 461.1 and 3,894 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (23, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to -0.1.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 468.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 466.8 to 470.4 and 53,463 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (15, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to -0.1.
Maine6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 476.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 472.2 to 481.3 and 9,189 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (7, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.1.
Minnesota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 471.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 469.2 to 474.0 and 31,253 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (11, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.0.
Oklahoma6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 450.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 448.0 to 453.6 and 20,705 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (28, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.2.
West Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 487.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 483.3 to 491.4 and 12,216 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (2, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to -0.1.
Wisconsin6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 470.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 468.5 to 473.1 and 34,173 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (12, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to -0.1.
Puerto Rico6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 368.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 365.4 to 370.9 and 14,806 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.2.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 415.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 414.3 to 416.4 and 118,438 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (40, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.4.
Ohio6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 471.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 469.8 to 473.1 and 68,972 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (12, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.8.
Arkansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 483.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 480.4 to 486.9 and 17,906 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (3, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 1.4.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 484.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 481.7 to 487.0 and 26,426 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (3, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 1.3.
Nebraska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 469.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 465.6 to 473.8 and 10,457 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (11, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.7.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 490.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 487.5 to 494.0 and 19,110 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (2, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.2.
Mississippi6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 476.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 472.7 to 479.3 and 16,924 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (8, 16)
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/08/2023 9:41 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2021 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2021 submission).
7 Source: SEER November 2021 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2021 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data not available for this combination of geography, cancer site, age, and race/ethnicity.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.