Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
All Cancer Sites (All Stages^), 2015-2019
All Races (includes Hispanic), Male, All Ages
Sorted by Rate
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 488.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 487.8 to 488.7 and 875,592 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.5.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 564.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 559.7 to 568.3 and 14,249 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 2)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.7.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 557.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 553.1 to 561.6 and 14,106 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 3)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.8.
Mississippi6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 552.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 546.7 to 557.3 and 9,025 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 4)
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Arkansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 547.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 542.2 to 552.3 and 9,518 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (3, 4)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.3.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 536.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 533.4 to 539.3 and 26,721 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (5, 7)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 535.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 531.0 to 540.7 and 9,884 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (5, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 1.2.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 531.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 528.9 to 534.7 and 27,605 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (5, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.6.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 529.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 527.4 to 531.4 and 57,760 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (7, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 0.6.
Tennessee6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 524.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 520.8 to 527.5 and 19,992 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (8, 12)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.6.
North Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 522.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 519.3 to 524.7 and 29,777 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (9, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.2.
Delaware6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 520.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 511.6 to 528.5 and 3,081 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (7, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.8.
West Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 517.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 511.8 to 523.7 and 6,241 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (9, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.7.
New Hampshire6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 517.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 510.0 to 524.2 and 4,451 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (9, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.9.
Alabama6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 514.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 510.6 to 518.4 and 14,432 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (11, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to 0.8.
Pennsylvania6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 513.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 511.3 to 516.0 and 40,236 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (12, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
Wisconsin6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 512.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 508.7 to 515.7 and 17,725 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (12, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.6.
Rhode Island6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 511.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 503.6 to 520.0 and 3,155 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (10, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.3.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 511.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 506.6 to 515.5 and 10,808 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (12, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.9.
Ohio6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 510.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 508.3 to 513.2 and 34,771 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (14, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.6.
Nebraska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 510.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 503.9 to 516.4 and 5,404 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (11, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 2.4.
Minnesota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 508.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 504.6 to 511.8 and 15,995 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (15, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to 1.5.
Maine6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 506.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 499.9 to 513.4 and 4,659 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (13, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.7.
Montana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 503.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 496.1 to 511.7 and 3,465 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (14, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.6.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 501.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 499.0 to 503.9 and 34,824 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (22, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.2.
Florida6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 498.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 496.5 to 499.8 and 69,346 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (24, 28)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -1.3.
Indiana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 497.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 494.4 to 501.1 and 18,186 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (23, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to -2.5.
Kansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 496.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 491.1 to 501.1 and 7,995 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (23, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.0.
Maryland6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 494.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 491.4 to 498.4 and 16,139 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (24, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.2.
South Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 494.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 490.3 to 497.7 and 14,688 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (25, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.
Oklahoma6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 490.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 486.2 to 494.7 and 10,572 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (27, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.4.
South Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 487.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 478.7 to 496.5 and 2,490 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (24, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.9.
North Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 487.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 477.3 to 496.8 and 2,037 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (24, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.8.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 487.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 480.6 to 493.4 and 4,686 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (27, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 1.5.
Michigan6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 485.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 482.5 to 487.7 and 28,708 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (31, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.6.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 484.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 481.7 to 488.1 and 18,814 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (30, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to 1.1.
Missouri6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 484.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 481.3 to 488.0 and 17,131 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (30, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.
Vermont6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 479.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 469.1 to 489.0 and 1,963 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (30, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.1.
Washington1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 467.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 464.6 to 470.7 and 19,047 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (37, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 458.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 457.3 to 460.6 and 60,563 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (39, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.8.
Oregon6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 449.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 445.4 to 453.1 and 11,180 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (40, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.2.
District of Columbia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 447.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 436.8 to 458.8 and 1,359 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (39, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.8.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 445.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 440.7 to 451.2 and 5,838 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (40, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.1.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 442.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 435.8 to 448.7 and 3,846 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (40, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.8.
Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 437.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 435.1 to 440.7 and 20,278 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (42, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.2.
Alaska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 435.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 424.6 to 445.7 and 1,573 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (40, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.7.
Wyoming6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 433.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 423.2 to 443.6 and 1,519 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (41, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.9.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 427.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 426.5 to 429.2 and 86,001 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (45, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.7.
Colorado6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 414.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 410.7 to 417.5 and 12,079 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (48, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.3.
Puerto Rico6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 411.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 407.5 to 415.9 and 7,749 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 1.8.
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 404.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 401.7 to 407.3 and 16,864 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (49, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.2.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 389.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 384.6 to 394.8 and 4,783 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (50, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.0.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/08/2023 8:34 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2021 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2021 submission).
7 Source: SEER November 2021 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2021 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data not available for this combination of geography, cancer site, age, and race/ethnicity.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.