Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
Esophagus (All Stages^), 2016-2020
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by CI*Rank
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 4.5 and 17,922 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.7.
Maine6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 6.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.3 to 7.3 and 140 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 3)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.0.
New Hampshire6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 6.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.8 to 6.8 and 123 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 7)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 0.0.
West Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.6 to 6.5 and 159 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 1.4.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.3 to 6.0 and 234 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (2, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 1.1.
Ohio6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.5 to 5.8 and 873 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (3, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 4.8.
Vermont6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.8 to 6.3 and 51 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (1, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 1.9.
Alaska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 6.3 and 42 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (1, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 1.6.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.2 to 5.8 and 313 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (3, 16)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.1 to 6.8.
Wisconsin6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.5 and 406 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (4, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.1.
Pennsylvania6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.5 and 948 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (6, 16)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 3.6.
Michigan6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.5 and 705 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (5, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.0.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.5 and 474 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (5, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 3.4.
South Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.8 and 59 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (2, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 9.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 17.1.
Rhode Island6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.7 and 73 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (3, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 10.9.
Missouri6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.3 and 409 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (7, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.2.
Minnesota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.3 and 357 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (7, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 6.2.
North Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 5.7 and 44 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (3, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 2.3.
Nebraska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 5.3 and 117 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (7, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 1.6.
Oregon6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.1 and 267 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (12, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.0.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 5.2 and 101 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (7, 39)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 1.1.
Kansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 5.1 and 170 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (11, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 2.2.
Oklahoma6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 5.1 and 229 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (12, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 7.3.
Washington5
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 4.9 and 432 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (15, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.3.
Tennessee6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 4.9 and 414 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (15, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 1.1.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 4.9 and 752 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (16, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.6.
Mississippi6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.9 and 173 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (15, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 0.8.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.8 and 221 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (16, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.2 to -0.8.
Montana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.1 and 68 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (10, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.7 to 0.5.
Delaware6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.1 and 60 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (10, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -0.3.
Florida6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 4.6 and 1,437 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (23, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.2.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.7 and 258 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (18, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 3.9.
Arkansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.8 and 176 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (18, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to 3.5.
Alabama6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.7 and 287 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (20, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.1.
South Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.6 and 303 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (21, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.1.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.5 and 524 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (25, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.6.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.4 and 1,080 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (29, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -1.1.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.4 and 486 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (29, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.8.
North Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.4 and 555 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (29, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.5.
Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.2 and 426 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (33, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.8.
Maryland6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.3 and 302 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (33, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.0.
Colorado6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.2 and 261 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (34, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.2.
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.2 and 373 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (36, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.3.
Wyoming6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 4.7 and 29 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (16, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -0.1.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.0 and 1,159 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (40, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.7.
District of Columbia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 4.6 and 26 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (18, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.9 to -3.0.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 4.1 and 71 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (36, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.7.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.9 and 99 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (39, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.8.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.5 and 1,565 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (45, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 3.6 and 94 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (44, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.0 to 0.8.
Puerto Rico6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 3.0 and 124 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.5 to 3.6.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 11/29/2023 11:49 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Data cannot be shown for the following areas. For more information on what areas are suppressed or not available, please refer to the table.
Indiana, Nevada
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Source: SEER and NPCR data. For more specific information please see the table.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data not available for this combination of geography, cancer site, age, and race/ethnicity.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.
CI*Rank data for Puerto Rico is not available.