Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
Esophagus (All Stages^), 2017-2021
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Ruralurban
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 4.5 and 18,429 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.4.
District of Columbia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 4.6 and 26 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 47 (17, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.4 to -2.7.
Puerto Rico6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.6 to 3.0 and 127 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -2.0.
Alabama6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.6 and 289 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 36 (23, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.3.
Alaska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 6.3 and 42 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 8 (1, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 1.4.
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.3 and 385 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 40 (32, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.1 to 0.0.
Arkansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.8 and 176 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 32 (17, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.8.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.5 and 1,580 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 49 (47, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.
Colorado6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.3 and 264 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 43 (33, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.0.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 5.0 and 228 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 25 (14, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.6 to -0.7.
Delaware6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 5.2 and 64 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 26 (8, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.4.
Florida6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 4.7 and 1,469 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 31 (23, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.1.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.5 and 527 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 38 (29, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 3.9 and 70 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 48 (40, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.6.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 5.1 and 101 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 27 (10, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.9.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 5.0 and 781 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 20 (14, 29)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 4.7.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.4 to 6.1 and 241 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 4 (2, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 1.1.
Kansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 5.1 and 171 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 22 (10, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 2.3.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.4 to 6.0 and 330 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 5 (2, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 6.5.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.7 and 253 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 35 (22, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to -0.9.
Maine6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 6.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.3 to 7.4 and 144 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 1 (1, 3)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.2.
Maryland6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.2 and 307 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 44 (36, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.3 and 469 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 14 (8, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.8 to -1.2.
Michigan6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.5 and 716 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 10 (6, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.0.
Minnesota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.0 to 5.5 and 371 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 12 (6, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.7.
Mississippi6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.9 and 175 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 30 (14, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.7.
Missouri6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.3 and 410 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 15 (7, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.3.
Montana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 5.2 and 70 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 29 (8, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.6 to 0.6.
Nebraska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 5.3 and 119 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 18 (7, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 1.3.
Nevada6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 5.0 and 175 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 28 (14, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.1.
New Hampshire6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.7 to 6.7 and 124 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 2 (1, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.3.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.3 and 493 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 41 (33, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.0.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.3 and 109 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 46 (32, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 1.0.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.2 and 1,072 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 42 (36, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.3.
North Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.5 and 569 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 37 (29, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.4.
North Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 5.4 and 43 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 24 (5, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to 1.9.
Ohio6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.5 to 5.8 and 885 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 6 (2, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 1.6.
Oklahoma6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 5.3 and 240 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 17 (8, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 7.8.
Oregon6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 5.0 and 265 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 23 (13, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.0.
Pennsylvania6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.4 and 952 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 11 (7, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.1.
Rhode Island6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.6 and 75 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 16 (3, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 7.4.
South Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.7 and 309 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 33 (20, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.8.
South Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.0 to 6.3 and 63 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 7 (1, 28)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 16.2.
Tennessee6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 5.1 and 433 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 19 (11, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.2.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.1 and 1,199 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 45 (39, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.4.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 3.8 and 101 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 50 (45, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to 1.0.
Vermont6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.9 and 49 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 13 (2, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 1.3.
Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.4 and 444 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 39 (31, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.6.
Washington5
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.0 and 446 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 21 (13, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.3.
West Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.5 to 6.4 and 159 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 3 (1, 12)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 1.3.
Wisconsin6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 5.5 and 416 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 9 (5, 18)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.1.
Wyoming6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 5.3 and 33 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 34 (7, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 12.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 23.3.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/04/2024 12:20 am.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Summary/Historic Combined Summary Stage (2004+).
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2023 submission.
5 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2023 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2023 submission).
7 Source: SEER November 2023 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2023 data.
Data for the United States does not include data from Indiana.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.