Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
Melanoma of the Skin (All Stages^), 2020
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Rate
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 20.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.8 to 20.1 and 77,230 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 2.7.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 38.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.1 to 40.7 and 1,141 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 2)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 3.1.
Minnesota2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 33.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.5 to 35.4 and 2,239 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (2, 3)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 7.5.
Vermont2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 31.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.5 to 35.7 and 265 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 3.3.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 30.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.8 to 32.7 and 629 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (2, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 2.6.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 28.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.9 to 30.5 and 1,092 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (3, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 3.7.
Maine2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.0 to 30.1 and 528 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (3, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.8 to 2.2.
Arizona2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 26.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.5 to 27.7 and 2,504 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (5, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.0 to 10.9.
South Dakota2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 26.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.3 to 30.1 and 277 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (3, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 5.5.
North Dakota2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 26.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.7 to 30.3 and 207 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (3, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 1.9.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 25.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.6 to 26.4 and 1,326 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (6, 17)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 2.5.
New Hampshire2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 24.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.2 to 27.0 and 459 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (5, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 1.9.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 24.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.9 to 26.6 and 458 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (6, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to 4.0.
Ohio2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 23.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.8 to 24.5 and 3,404 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (10, 19)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 3.3.
North Carolina2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 23.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.6 to 24.3 and 3,046 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (10, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 2.3.
Florida2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 23.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.8 to 24.0 and 7,313 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (10, 19)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to 3.0.
Montana2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 23.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.4 to 25.9 and 317 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (7, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 3.5.
Kansas2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.1 to 24.5 and 772 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (9, 27)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 3.2.
Washington4
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.4 to 23.4 and 2,011 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (12, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.6.
Wisconsin2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.2 to 23.5 and 1,622 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (12, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to 0.8.
Maryland2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.0 to 23.2 and 1,619 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (13, 27)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 5.9.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 21.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.6 to 22.3 and 2,562 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (16, 28)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to 1.3.
Arkansas2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 21.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.7 to 22.8 and 778 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (14, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 5.9.
South Carolina2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 21.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.0 to 22.3 and 1,403 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (16, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.4 to -0.4.
Nebraska2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 21.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.1 to 23.2 and 464 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (12, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 6.7.
Delaware2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 20.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.4 to 23.5 and 287 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (11, 39)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to 0.6.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 20.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.7 to 21.2 and 3,048 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (21, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 6.6.
Wyoming2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 20.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.1 to 24.2 and 146 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (9, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 3.8.
West Virginia2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 20.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.4 to 22.4 and 481 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (15, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to 2.0.
Oklahoma2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 20.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.7 to 21.4 and 920 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (19, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.8 to -0.6.
Oregon2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 19.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.7 to 21.2 and 1,044 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (20, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.0 to -0.1.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 19.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.2 to 20.0 and 8,817 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (26, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to 1.6.
Virginia2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.2 to 19.9 and 1,951 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (26, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 6.9.
Alabama2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 18.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.2 to 19.5 and 1,105 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (27, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to 1.8.
Tennessee2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 18.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.2 to 19.1 and 1,518 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (29, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 1.1.
Mississippi2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.4 to 19.4 and 610 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (27, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 2.1.
Michigan2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.9 to 18.5 and 2,176 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (31, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.4.
Colorado2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.6 to 18.7 and 1,158 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (30, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 0.7.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.8 to 18.3 and 1,999 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (32, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.7.
Pennsylvania2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.7 to 18.0 and 2,902 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (33, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.4 to -1.9.
Missouri2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.3 to 18.2 and 1,290 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (32, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.2.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 16.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.1 to 17.5 and 764 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (34, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.2.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 15.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.3 to 16.3 and 3,843 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (40, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.3.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 15.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 14.1 to 17.3 and 426 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (35, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to 0.2.
Rhode Island2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 15.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.3 to 17.7 and 210 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (33, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.4 to -0.2.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 14.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.2 to 15.3 and 780 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (42, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 4.0.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 13.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.0 to 14.6 and 1,217 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (43, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -7.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.0 to -4.2.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 13.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.6 to 13.5 and 3,957 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (45, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to 7.2.
Alaska2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 12.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.0 to 15.3 and 99 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (41, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 3.5.
District of Columbia2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 7.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.0 to 10.3 and 57 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (48, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 2.8.
Puerto Rico2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 3.0 and 114 average annual cases over 2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.8 to 19.4.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/08/2023 10:20 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2022 submission.
2 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2022 submission).
4 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2022 submission.
7 Source: SEER November 2022 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2022 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data not available for this combination of geography, cancer site, age, and race/ethnicity.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.