Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
Prostate (All Stages^), 2015-2019
All Races (includes Hispanic), Male, All Ages
Sorted by CI*Rank
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 109.7 to 110.2 and 211,245 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 4.6.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 140.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 138.7 to 141.6 and 7,475 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 2)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.0 to 11.1.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 138.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 136.5 to 140.6 and 3,760 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 3)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 7.4.
Mississippi6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 135.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.1 to 138.2 and 2,381 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 6)
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Maryland6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 132.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.9 to 134.5 and 4,657 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (3, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.9 to 6.0.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 132.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 131.2 to 134.0 and 7,378 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (3, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.9 to 7.1.
District of Columbia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 131.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.5 to 137.3 and 405 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (2, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.1.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 130.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.8 to 131.7 and 15,242 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (5, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 4.8.
Montana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 130.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 127.0 to 134.5 and 992 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (3, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 9.2.
Nebraska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 127.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 124.9 to 130.9 and 1,447 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (5, 12)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 9.8.
Delaware6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 125.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 122.0 to 130.0 and 811 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (6, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 2.8.
Alabama6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 124.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 122.2 to 125.8 and 3,731 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (9, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.5 to 6.7.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 123.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 121.1 to 125.3 and 2,808 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (9, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 7.9.
North Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 122.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 121.7 to 124.2 and 7,569 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (10, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 5.3.
North Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 121.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.0 to 126.4 and 549 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (8, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to 5.9.
South Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 120.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.1 to 124.6 and 664 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (9, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 4.7.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 119.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.8 to 121.2 and 2,357 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (13, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 6.1.
Arkansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 118.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.2 to 120.8 and 2,205 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (14, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 4.7.
Wisconsin6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 118.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.7 to 119.9 and 4,478 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (14, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 6.2.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 117.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.6 to 119.9 and 1,591 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (14, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 3.8.
Tennessee6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 117.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.6 to 118.7 and 4,803 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (15, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 5.1.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 115.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 112.5 to 118.5 and 1,198 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (15, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 8.4.
Rhode Island6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 114.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.2 to 118.7 and 768 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (15, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 10.5.
New Hampshire6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 114.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.0 to 117.3 and 1,094 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (16, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 7.7.
Kansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 114.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.7 to 116.4 and 1,954 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (19, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 7.3.
Wyoming6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 108.7 to 118.6 and 437 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (15, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 5.8.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 112.2 to 114.4 and 8,452 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (21, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 2.9.
South Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.6 to 115.0 and 3,659 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (21, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to -3.0.
Minnesota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.5 to 114.8 and 3,862 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (21, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 4.5.
Ohio6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 112.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.4 to 113.6 and 8,293 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (23, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 7.3.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 111.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 110.2 to 113.1 and 4,697 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (24, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 5.8.
Michigan6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 110.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 109.4 to 111.8 and 7,118 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (28, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 6.6.
Pennsylvania6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 108.2 to 110.2 and 9,274 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (30, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 6.6.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 108.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.2 to 109.8 and 2,942 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (31, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to 7.8.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 102.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 101.9 to 103.4 and 14,170 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (34, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 4.9.
Oklahoma6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 98.5 to 102.3 and 2,295 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (34, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 8.5.
Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 99.0 to 101.6 and 5,010 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (35, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 1.1.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.3 to 103.3 and 920 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (34, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 8.6.
Washington1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 98.6 to 101.4 and 4,401 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (35, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 4.3.
Indiana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 99.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 98.4 to 101.3 and 3,910 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (35, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to 5.2.
Vermont6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 98.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.4 to 102.9 and 451 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (34, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 7.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 12.3.
West Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 98.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 95.9 to 100.8 and 1,293 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (35, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 7.5.
Florida6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 97.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.2 to 98.6 and 14,461 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (39, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -0.6.
Maine6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 97.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.3 to 99.9 and 990 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (35, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 6.8.
Oregon6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 96.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.7 to 98.1 and 2,610 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (39, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 3.4.
Missouri6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 95.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.2 to 97.0 and 3,649 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (41, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 4.8.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 95.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.6 to 95.8 and 20,180 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (43, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 4.3.
Colorado6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 93.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 91.6 to 94.7 and 2,928 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (45, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 6.9.
Alaska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 92.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 87.4 to 96.8 and 358 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (40, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 5.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.2 to 18.1.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 84.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.0 to 86.5 and 1,119 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (49, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 2.7.
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 77.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 76.5 to 78.8 and 3,436 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (50, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.2 to 2.1.
Puerto Rico6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 148.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.2 to 151.1 and 2,969 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 5.3.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/29/2023 6:18 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2021 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2021 submission).
7 Source: SEER November 2021 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2021 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data not available for this combination of geography, cancer site, age, and race/ethnicity.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.