Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
Prostate (All Stages^), 2021
All Races (includes Hispanic), Male, All Ages
Sorted by Rate
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 114.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.2 to 115.2 and 236,659 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 3.7.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 149.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.9 to 154.9 and 3,665 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 1 (1, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 5.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 7.2.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 147.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.2 to 150.5 and 8,713 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 2 (1, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 7.7.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 146.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.5 to 149.7 and 9,034 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 3 (1, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 5.3.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 146.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.9 to 151.1 and 4,222 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 4 (1, 6)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 6.2.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 139.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.2 to 141.4 and 17,784 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 5 (5, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.1 to 3.4.
District of Columbia2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 137.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 124.4 to 151.8 and 418 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 6 (1, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 10.5.
Mississippi2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 137.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 131.5 to 142.6 and 2,511 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 7 (4, 12)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 5.3.
Maryland2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 136.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.9 to 140.6 and 5,260 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 8 (5, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 4.3.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 134.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.0 to 140.9 and 2,117 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 9 (4, 14)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.8 to 4.4.
Puerto Rico2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 134.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.1 to 139.7 and 3,207 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.3.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 130.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.7 to 135.6 and 2,799 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 10 (6, 16)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 6.2.
Wisconsin2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 129.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 126.2 to 133.4 and 5,406 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 11 (8, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 5.2.
North Carolina2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 129.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 126.3 to 131.9 and 8,650 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 12 (8, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 3.5.
Montana2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 126.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.2 to 135.1 and 1,067 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 13 (6, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.3 to 0.3.
Delaware2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 125.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.1 to 134.0 and 921 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 14 (6, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 3.1.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 121.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.3 to 124.3 and 9,667 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 15 (13, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 3.2.
Minnesota2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 121.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.8 to 125.1 and 4,568 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 16 (13, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 4.2.
Ohio2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 121.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 118.8 to 123.8 and 9,550 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 17 (13, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 8.2.
South Dakota2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 120.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.9 to 130.5 and 723 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 18 (8, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 6.6.
Kansas2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 120.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.4 to 125.7 and 2,220 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 19 (12, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 8.0.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 120.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.1 to 124.4 and 3,482 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 20 (13, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 6.3.
North Dakota2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 118.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 108.8 to 129.0 and 573 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 21 (9, 39)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 7.6.
Vermont2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 116.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.7 to 126.4 and 593 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 22 (10, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 10.2.
New Hampshire2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 115.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 109.0 to 122.6 and 1,222 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 23 (13, 36)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 6.3.
Michigan2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 112.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 110.1 to 115.3 and 7,792 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 24 (21, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 6.4.
Maine2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 112.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.9 to 118.9 and 1,263 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 25 (16, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 5.6.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 112.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.1 to 118.3 and 1,373 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 26 (17, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 7.4.
South Carolina2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 111.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 107.5 to 114.6 and 3,944 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 27 (21, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.2 to 3.5.
Florida2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 110.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 108.7 to 112.0 and 17,941 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 28 (23, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 2.7.
Washington4
- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.6 to 112.7 and 5,328 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 29 (23, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 4.0.
Alabama2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.9 to 113.3 and 3,563 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 30 (22, 39)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.5 to -2.3.
Wyoming2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 99.2 to 120.3 and 462 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 31 (14, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 7.6.
Pennsylvania2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.9 to 111.4 and 9,943 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 32 (24, 37)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 6.1.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 108.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.3 to 111.5 and 4,975 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 33 (24, 39)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 7.5.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 107.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 101.4 to 114.4 and 1,110 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 34 (21, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.7 to 6.6.
Virginia2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 105.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 103.1 to 108.7 and 5,727 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 35 (28, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 3.0.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 105.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 104.1 to 107.5 and 15,990 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 36 (31, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to 1.8.
Oklahoma2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 105.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 101.1 to 109.6 and 2,539 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 37 (26, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 7.7.
Alaska2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 104.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.9 to 115.7 and 461 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 38 (18, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 10.8.
Nebraska2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 103.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 98.0 to 109.8 and 1,272 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 39 (25, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.9 to -3.5.
Tennessee2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 103.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 100.6 to 106.7 and 4,620 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 40 (32, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.1 to -1.4.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 102.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 101.0 to 103.7 and 23,268 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 41 (37, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 4.8.
West Virginia2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 102.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.9 to 107.9 and 1,413 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 42 (28, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 5.2.
Rhode Island2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 99.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 91.9 to 106.9 and 726 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 43 (28, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 7.6.
Missouri2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 96.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 93.8 to 100.0 and 3,940 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 44 (41, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 4.8.
Oregon2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 91.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 88.3 to 95.5 and 2,693 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 45 (43, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 3.4.
Nevada2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 91.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 87.6 to 96.2 and 1,870 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 46 (43, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 5.5.
Colorado2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 87.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 84.7 to 91.2 and 3,036 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 47 (45, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to 1.4.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 87.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.8 to 92.8 and 1,274 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 48 (44, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 2.7.
Arkansas2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 85.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 81.0 to 89.5 and 1,639 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 49 (45, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.5 to -3.6.
Arizona2
- Rate : The incidence rate is 70.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 67.6 to 72.4 and 3,393 average annual cases over 2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 50 (50, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.5 to -1.4.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/04/2025 12:07 am.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Summary/Historic Combined Summary Stage (2004+).
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2023 submission.
2 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2023 submission).
4 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2023 submission.
7 Source: SEER November 2023 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2023 data.
Data for the United States does not include data from Indiana.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.