Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report by State
Breast (in situ) (All Stages^), 2015-2019
All Races (includes Hispanic), Female, All Ages
Sorted by Rate
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 29.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.3 to 29.5 and 57,125 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.4.
New York7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 42.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.3 to 43.4 and 5,073 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 3)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 4.5.
Connecticut7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 42.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 41.2 to 43.7 and 948 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 4)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.3.
New Jersey7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 41.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.6 to 42.2 and 2,277 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 4)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.7.
District of Columbia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 38.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.9 to 42.0 and 136 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to -0.2.
Rhode Island6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 37.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.4 to 39.8 and 250 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (4, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 1.8.
Massachusetts7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 37.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.4 to 38.2 and 1,568 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (4, 7)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -2.4.
Hawaii7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 35.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.4 to 37.1 and 307 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (4, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.7.
New Hampshire6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 34.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.6 to 36.3 and 303 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (6, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.3.
Wisconsin6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 33.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.8 to 34.6 and 1,193 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (7, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.4.
Illinois7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 32.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.6 to 32.7 and 2,443 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (9, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.2.
Pennsylvania6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 32.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.5 to 32.6 and 2,623 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (9, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -0.8.
Washington1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 31.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.7 to 32.2 and 1,372 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (10, 17)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.7.
Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 30.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.2 to 31.6 and 1,591 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (11, 19)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.2 to 6.1.
Delaware6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 30.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.7 to 32.8 and 196 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (9, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.0 to -2.0.
Michigan6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 30.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.0 to 31.3 and 1,916 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (12, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.2.
Maryland6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 30.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.4 to 31.0 and 1,128 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (12, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.5.
South Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 30.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.2 to 31.0 and 990 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (12, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 0.3.
Minnesota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 29.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.0 to 30.8 and 973 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (13, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.2.
North Carolina6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 29.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.2 to 30.5 and 1,932 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (14, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.2.
Iowa7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 29.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.6 to 30.9 and 554 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (12, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 3.9.
Nebraska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 28.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.4 to 30.4 and 311 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (13, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.1.
Maine6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 28.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.5 to 29.7 and 266 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (15, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.1.
Ohio6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 28.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.5 to 28.6 and 2,079 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (20, 29)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.3.
Georgia7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 28.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.5 to 28.7 and 1,724 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (21, 29)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.1.
South Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.7 to 30.2 and 137 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (12, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to 0.5.
Florida6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.3 to 28.1 and 3,964 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (22, 30)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.5.
Colorado6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.6 to 28.3 and 872 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (21, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.4.
California7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.1 to 27.7 and 6,133 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (23, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.3.
Arkansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.1 to 28.3 and 506 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (21, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 1.6.
Missouri6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 27.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.2 to 27.8 and 1,036 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (22, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.4.
Indiana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 26.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.0 to 27.5 and 1,084 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (24, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.1.
Kentucky7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 26.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.3 to 27.1 and 734 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (27, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.3.
Kansas6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 25.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.5 to 26.8 and 432 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (28, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.1.
Louisiana7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 25.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.5 to 26.2 and 724 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (31, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.6.
Oregon6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 25.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.3 to 26.1 and 652 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (31, 42)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to 10.1.
North Dakota6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 25.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.9 to 27.6 and 99 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (22, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to 1.2.
Montana6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 25.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.2 to 26.9 and 166 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (25, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.7.
Mississippi6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 24.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.5 to 25.6 and 458 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (32, 44)
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 24.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.5 to 24.9 and 1,044 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (34, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -0.3.
Vermont6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 24.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.8 to 26.3 and 103 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (27, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.2 to -3.5.
Alaska6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 24.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.7 to 26.4 and 90 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (27, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -0.7.
Tennessee6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 23.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.1 to 24.5 and 1,019 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (36, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.6.
Alabama6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 23.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.9 to 24.5 and 747 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (36, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.1.
Idaho7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.6 to 24.4 and 226 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (36, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.7.
Texas7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.1 to 22.8 and 3,384 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (43, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.0.
West Virginia6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.1 to 23.7 and 275 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (39, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.1.
Utah7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 22.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.0 to 23.3 and 310 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (41, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.2.
Oklahoma6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 21.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.1 to 21.8 and 485 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (46, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.6.
Wyoming6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 18.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.9 to 20.3 and 58 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (48, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.3.
New Mexico7
- Rate : The incidence rate is 17.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.8 to 19.0 and 235 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (49, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.5 to 0.0.
- Rate : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : Data not available for this combination of data selections.
- Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
- CI*Rank⋔ : *
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/30/2023 4:59 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Data not available for this combination of data selections.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2021 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2021 submission).
7 Source: SEER November 2021 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2021 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data not available for this combination of geography, cancer site, age, and race/ethnicity.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.