Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report for Alaska by Borough or Census Area
All Cancer Sites (All Stages^), 2014-2018
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Recentaapc
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
Alaska6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 418.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 411.4 to 425.8 and 2,952 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (40, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.2.
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 448.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 448.3 to 448.9 and 1,703,249 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.7.
Wrangell-Petersburg Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 371.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 311.2 to 440.7 and 31 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (4, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.6 to -2.8.
Matanuska-Susitna Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 427.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 408.2 to 447.7 and 426 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (3, 17)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.2 to -1.8.
Haines Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 341.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 250.8 to 456.0 and 11 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (3, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.4 to -0.4.
Denali Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 410.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 229.6 to 662.9 and 7 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (1, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.6 to 4.0.
Fairbanks North Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 386.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 366.6 to 407.5 and 328 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (10, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.9.
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 411.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 346.2 to 486.3 and 32 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (2, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to 0.3.
Bethel Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 358.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 306.2 to 417.0 and 44 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (7, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to 0.8.
Dillingham Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 375.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 289.1 to 478.2 and 15 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (2, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to 1.3.
Sitka City and Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 342.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 292.0 to 400.4 and 35 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (10, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 0.2.
Valdez-Cordova Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 429.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 367.0 to 498.4 and 42 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (2, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -0.1.
Bristol Bay Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 356.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 211.6 to 571.4 and 4 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (1, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.5 to 4.7.
Kodiak Island Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 403.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 350.2 to 462.5 and 50 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (2, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 0.2.
Ketchikan Gateway Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 436.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 388.8 to 488.0 and 69 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (2, 20)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -0.1.
Wade Hampton Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 387.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 303.2 to 486.7 and 18 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (2, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to 1.9.
Anchorage Municipality6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 439.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 427.3 to 451.1 and 1,189 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (2, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
North Slope Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 425.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 345.0 to 516.3 and 28 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (1, 24)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 1.6.
Juneau City and Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 400.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 369.3 to 434.5 and 138 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (5, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.1.
Kenai Peninsula Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 435.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 412.7 to 458.8 and 320 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (2, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.2.
Prince of Wales-Outer Ketchikan Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 429.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 359.6 to 509.3 and 33 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (1, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to 1.6.
Skagway-Hoonah-Angoon Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 378.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 295.3 to 478.7 and 17 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (2, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to 3.2.
Aleutians West Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 383.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 247.7 to 556.6 and 14 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (1, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.9 to 7.3.
Nome Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 468.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 391.3 to 555.5 and 33 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 21)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 2.7.
Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 558.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 471.7 to 656.3 and 34 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 3.4.
Northwest Arctic Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 396.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 324.2 to 480.0 and 23 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (2, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 3.3.
Aleutians East Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 157.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 91.7 to 254.0 and 5 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (25, 26)
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Lake and Peninsula Borough6
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The incidence rate is 439.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 286.5 to 641.3 and 6 average annual cases over 2014-2018.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 25)
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
- CI*Rank⋔ : *
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/27/2022 7:46 am.
Alaska Census Area Name Change: please note that Wade Hampton Census Area, AK (FIPS code=02270) was renamed effective July 1, 2015, and the new name is Kusilvak Census Area (FIPS Code=02158). Due to the nature of data submissions, we will use the older code/name this year and transition to the new code/name with a future data release.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
*** No Healthy People 2020 Objective for this cancer.
Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2020 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2020 submission).
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.
When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.