Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report for Arizona by County
All Cancer Sites (All Stages^), 2017-2021
All Races (includes Hispanic), Male, All Ages
Sorted by Ruralurban
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
Arizona6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : N/A
- Rate : The incidence rate is 415.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 412.7 to 418.3 and 17,881 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -2.2.
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : N/A
- Rate : The incidence rate is 481.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 480.6 to 481.5 and 888,315 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.0.
Cochise County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 431.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 411.7 to 451.4 and 405 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 3 (1, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.7.
Coconino County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 334.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 314.2 to 354.7 and 236 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 12 (11, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.8.
Maricopa County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 418.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 415.1 to 422.6 and 9,942 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 7 (4, 8)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.9.
Mohave County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 424.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 411.2 to 439.0 and 898 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 6 (1, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.0.
Pima County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 429.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 422.5 to 437.0 and 2,881 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 4 (1, 6)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.2.
Pinal County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 410.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 400.0 to 421.5 and 1,196 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 8 (5, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.3.
Yavapai County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 425.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 412.1 to 439.4 and 973 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 5 (1, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.3.
Yuma County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Urban
- Rate : The incidence rate is 401.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 385.4 to 417.5 and 516 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 10 (6, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.7.
Apache County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 319.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 293.2 to 347.6 and 116 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 15 (11, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 1.1.
Gila County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 322.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 297.8 to 348.7 and 159 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 14 (11, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.2.
Graham County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 333.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 297.7 to 372.7 and 64 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 13 (11, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -0.9.
Greenlee County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 440.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 358.3 to 536.3 and 21 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 2 (1, 12)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -0.5.
La Paz County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 461.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 405.9 to 523.0 and 82 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 1 (1, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 2.1.
Navajo County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 406.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 384.4 to 430.1 and 272 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 9 (3, 10)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 1.0.
Santa Cruz County6
- 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes Φ : Rural
- Rate : The incidence rate is 353.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 322.1 to 386.5 and 101 average annual cases over 2017-2021.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 11 (10, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 0.1.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 11/08/2024 12:25 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Summary/Historic Combined Summary Stage (2004+).
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
Φ Rural-Urban Continuum Codes provided by the USDA.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2023 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2023 submission).
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2023 data.
Data for the United States does not include data from Indiana.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.