Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data
Incidence Rate Report for Arizona by County
All Cancer Sites (All Stages^), 2016-2020
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Recentaapc
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.
AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time
- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
Arizona6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 376.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 374.7 to 378.4 and 33,768 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.6.
US (SEER+NPCR)1
- Rate : The incidence rate is 442.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 442.0 to 442.6 and 1,698,328 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.1.
Santa Cruz County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 321.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 300.2 to 343.3 and 188 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (9, 14)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.8 to 6.7.
Apache County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 275.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 258.8 to 292.2 and 226 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (14, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.9.
Yuma County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 361.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 350.3 to 372.0 and 946 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (6, 9)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.7.
La Paz County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 308.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 278.8 to 340.6 and 129 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (9, 15)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.1.
Navajo County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 350.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 336.4 to 365.9 and 488 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (6, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.3.
Cochise County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 388.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 374.5 to 401.8 and 722 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 6)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.0.
Pima County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 389.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 385.1 to 394.8 and 5,454 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.3.
Yavapai County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 395.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 385.7 to 405.2 and 1,762 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.2.
Coconino County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 336.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 322.2 to 350.5 and 475 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (8, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.2.
Pinal County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 346.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 339.2 to 353.0 and 2,108 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (7, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.3.
Maricopa County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 380.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 377.8 to 382.7 and 19,166 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (4, 6)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.8.
Gila County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 320.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 302.5 to 339.9 and 307 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (9, 14)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.2.
Greenlee County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 372.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 319.2 to 432.3 and 36 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (1, 14)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 0.9.
Mohave County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 401.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 391.2 to 411.4 and 1,594 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 4)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.4 to -1.3.
Graham County6
- Rate : The incidence rate is 332.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 306.9 to 358.5 and 134 average annual cases over 2016-2020.
- CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (7, 14)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling
because the trend is -6.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -13.5 to -1.5.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/06/2023 9:37 am.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.
Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.
^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.
1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2022 submission.
6 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2022 submission).
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2022 data.
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.
When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.