Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by State/County Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by State/County, 2016-2020
Colorado versus United States
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by priorityindex
Explanation of Column HeadersCancer Site and Sex - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
Cervix (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 1.8 and 48 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Colon & Rectum (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -2.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 13.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.5 to 13.8 and 365 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Esophagus (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.9 to 1.3 and 36 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Kidney & Renal Pelvis (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 2.0 and 59 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Lung & Bronchus (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.4 to -3.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 22.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.3 to 22.8 and 738 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Lung & Bronchus (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to -4.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 27.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.1 to 27.9 and 751 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Oral Cavity & Pharynx (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to 1.3 and 38 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Stomach (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -2.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 1.8 and 50 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Brain & ONS (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 5.5 and 155 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Childhood (Ages <20, All Sites) (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 2.5 and 14 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Colon & Rectum (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 9.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.3 to 10.3 and 323 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Esophagus (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.0 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.0 to 6.9 and 189 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Kidney & Renal Pelvis (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.8 and 122 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Leukemia (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.6 and 139 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Leukemia (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.8 to 7.7 and 189 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to -3.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 3.6 and 110 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.5 to 6.4 and 155 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Ovary (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.7 to 6.5 and 203 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Pancreas (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 10.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.3 to 11.4 and 314 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Stomach (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 3.6 and 93 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Oral Cavity & Pharynx (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -5.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -13.4 to 2.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.7 to 3.3 and 89 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Bladder (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 2.0 and 59 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Bladder (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.0 to 6.9 and 163 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Brain & ONS (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.9 and 119 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Breast (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 18.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.1 to 19.4 and 621 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Pancreas (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 8.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 8.1 to 9.0 and 289 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Thyroid (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.5 and 15 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Thyroid (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 2.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 0.7 and 15 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Melanoma of the Skin (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 1.8 and 53 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Melanoma of the Skin (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 4.0 and 100 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Prostate (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 21.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.0 to 22.7 and 535 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Liver & Bile Duct (Male)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 3.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising
because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 2.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 8.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 7.5 to 8.5 and 249 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Uterus (Corpus & Uterus, NOS) (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 3.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising
because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.5 and 144 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Liver & Bile Duct (Female)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 2.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising
because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to 2.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.9 and 125 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.1 to 2.2 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 2.6 and 11 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 2.2 and 12 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/25/2023 1:52 am.
Rising

Stable

Falling

Rate Comparison
Above

Similar

Below

** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Childhood (Ages <15, All Sites) (Female), Childhood (Ages <15, All Sites) (Male), Childhood (Ages <20, All Sites) (Female)
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.