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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by count

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Fairfax County


Virginia Beach City


Henrico County


Chesterfield County


Prince William County


Norfolk City


Chesapeake City


Loudoun County


Richmond City


Newport News City


Hampton City


Roanoke City


Spotsylvania County


Portsmouth City


Hanover County


Arlington County


Roanoke County


Bedford City and County


James City County


Frederick County


Stafford County


Albemarle County


Suffolk City


Rockingham County


Alexandria City


Lynchburg City


Augusta County


Pittsylvania County


Henry County


Washington County


Campbell County


Franklin County


Fauquier County


Tazewell County


Montgomery County


Shenandoah County


Danville City


Halifax County with South Boston City


Accomack County


Gloucester County


Petersburg City


Wise County


York County


Culpeper County


Mecklenburg County


Smyth County


Warren County


Orange County


Louisa County


Isle of Wight County


Pulaski County


Carroll County


Wythe County


Russell County


Amherst County


Salem City


Scott County


Botetourt County


Staunton City


Page County


Caroline County


Lee County


Buchanan County


Hopewell City


Dinwiddie County


Waynesboro City


Harrisonburg City


Prince George County


Charlottesville City


Fluvanna County


Fairfax City


Westmoreland County


Rockbridge County


Goochland County


Winchester City


Patrick County


Powhatan County


Colonial Heights City


Manassas City


Prince Edward County


Giles County


Bristol City


Dickenson County


Martinsville City


Lancaster County


Grayson County


New Kent County


Brunswick County


Nelson County


Northumberland County


Southampton County


Nottoway County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Northampton County


Buckingham County


Floyd County


King George County


Middlesex County


Appomattox County


Amelia County


Fredericksburg City


Greene County


Charlotte County


Lunenburg County


Clarke County


Madison County


Galax City


King William County


Sussex County


Essex County


Poquoson City


Richmond County


Greensville County


Mathews County


Cumberland County


Franklin City


Radford City


Covington City


Charles City County


King and Queen County


Falls Church City


Surry County


Lexington City


Rappahannock County


Buena Vista City


Bath County


Williamsburg City


Emporia City


Craig County


Bland County


Norton City


Manassas Park City


Highland County




Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/15/2024 12:57 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.