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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by trend

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Martinsville City


Halifax County with South Boston City


Fredericksburg City


Dickenson County


Floyd County


Greensville County


Henry County


Hopewell City


Page County


Staunton City


Waynesboro City


Salem City


Grayson County


Lee County


Patrick County


Russell County


Carroll County


Nelson County


Scott County


Smyth County


Buchanan County


Madison County


Tazewell County


Amelia County


Danville City


King and Queen County


Shenandoah County


Wise County


Appomattox County


Colonial Heights City


Franklin City


Giles County


Lunenburg County


Petersburg City


Richmond County


Roanoke City


Roanoke County


Bath County


Craig County


Gloucester County


James City County


Lynchburg City


Mecklenburg County


Nottoway County


Pittsylvania County


Prince Edward County


Warren County


Wythe County


Accomack County


Bedford City and County


Bland County


Campbell County


Cumberland County


Franklin County


Lexington City


Portsmouth City


Radford City


Washington County


Buckingham County


Culpeper County


Essex County


Newport News City


Northampton County


Norton City


Pulaski County


Charlotte County


Dinwiddie County


Hampton City


Louisa County


Middlesex County


Orange County


Botetourt County


Buena Vista City


Frederick County


Henrico County


Sussex County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Amherst County


Augusta County


Caroline County


Chesterfield County


Fairfax City


Harrisonburg City


Isle of Wight County


King William County


Virginia Beach City


Westmoreland County


Winchester City


Albemarle County


Chesapeake City


Clarke County


Fluvanna County


New Kent County


Norfolk City


Rockingham County


Southampton County


Spotsylvania County


Surry County


Charles City County


Greene County


Hanover County


Lancaster County


Manassas City


Montgomery County


Rockbridge County


Suffolk City


Fauquier County


Goochland County


Brunswick County


Charlottesville City


Highland County


King George County


Emporia City


Mathews County


Northumberland County


Prince George County


Rappahannock County


Falls Church City


Poquoson City


Arlington County


Prince William County


Fairfax County


Loudoun County


Powhatan County


Alexandria City


Stafford County


York County


Richmond City


Williamsburg City


Manassas Park City


Bristol City


Covington City


Galax City




Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/01/2024 10:19 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.