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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Sorted by trend

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Galax City


Manassas Park City


Richmond City


York County


Alexandria City


Northumberland County


Loudoun County


Prince William County


Arlington County


Emporia City


Powhatan County


Prince George County


Brunswick County


Poquoson City


Stafford County


Bath County


Charlottesville City


Hanover County


Rappahannock County


Sussex County


Charles City County


Fairfax County


Manassas City


Mathews County


Southampton County


Falls Church City


Surry County


Caroline County


Fauquier County


Fluvanna County


Isle of Wight County


King George County


Spotsylvania County


Botetourt County


Chesapeake City


Goochland County


Harrisonburg City


Middlesex County


New Kent County


Cumberland County


Nottoway County


Westmoreland County


Augusta County


Buena Vista City


Chesterfield County


Frederick County


Henrico County


Louisa County


Norton City


Suffolk City


Virginia Beach City


Winchester City


Albemarle County


Dinwiddie County


Greensville County


King William County


Lancaster County


Newport News City


Portsmouth City


Pulaski County


Rockbridge County


Accomack County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Bedford City and County


Lee County


Lunenburg County


Montgomery County


Wythe County


Amherst County


Clarke County


Essex County


Greene County


King and Queen County


Orange County


Washington County


Amelia County


Campbell County


Colonial Heights City


Culpeper County


Hampton City


Pittsylvania County


Roanoke City


Wise County


Appomattox County


Fairfax City


Franklin County


Halifax County with South Boston City


Lynchburg City


Charlotte County


Page County


Scott County


Tazewell County


Warren County


Gloucester County


James City County


Mecklenburg County


Prince Edward County


Radford City


Roanoke County


Buchanan County


Grayson County


Northampton County


Bristol City


Buckingham County


Carroll County


Danville City


Giles County


Richmond County


Rockingham County


Shenandoah County


Smyth County


Henry County


Madison County


Patrick County


Waynesboro City


Hopewell City


Petersburg City


Salem City


Franklin City


Russell County


Staunton City


Dickenson County


Craig County


Nelson County


Floyd County


Norfolk City


Martinsville City


Covington City


Lexington City


Fredericksburg City


Williamsburg City


Bland County Highland County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/01/2024 8:03 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bland County, Highland County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.