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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Sorted by count

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Fairfax County


Virginia Beach City


Chesterfield County


Henrico County


Prince William County


Norfolk City


Chesapeake City


Loudoun County


Richmond City


Newport News City


Hampton City


Spotsylvania County


Roanoke City


Bedford City and County


Roanoke County


Portsmouth City


James City County


Hanover County


Arlington County


Frederick County


Stafford County


Albemarle County


Suffolk City


Pittsylvania County


Rockingham County


Augusta County


Lynchburg City


Alexandria City


Henry County


Campbell County


Franklin County


Fauquier County


Washington County


Tazewell County


Montgomery County


Shenandoah County


Halifax County with South Boston City


Danville City


Gloucester County


Culpeper County


Accomack County


Petersburg City


Wise County


Warren County


Mecklenburg County


Smyth County


Orange County


York County


Isle of Wight County


Louisa County


Pulaski County


Carroll County


Amherst County


Wythe County


Russell County


Botetourt County


Scott County


Page County


Salem City


Staunton City


Dinwiddie County


Lee County


Goochland County


Caroline County


Harrisonburg City


Hopewell City


Buchanan County


Westmoreland County


Prince George County


Waynesboro City


Rockbridge County


Fairfax City


Powhatan County


Charlottesville City


Fluvanna County


Winchester City


Dickenson County


Patrick County


Giles County


Lancaster County


Prince Edward County


Colonial Heights City


Nelson County


Northampton County


Bristol City


Buckingham County


New Kent County


Southampton County


Brunswick County


Martinsville City


Manassas City


Northumberland County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Floyd County


Grayson County


King George County


Nottoway County


Middlesex County


Appomattox County


Amelia County


Greene County


Charlotte County


Clarke County


Lunenburg County


Madison County


Fredericksburg City


King William County


Essex County


Poquoson City


Sussex County


Cumberland County


Franklin City


Mathews County


Richmond County


Greensville County


Galax City


Covington City


Radford City


King and Queen County


Charles City County


Rappahannock County


Surry County


Falls Church City


Lexington City


Williamsburg City


Buena Vista City


Bath County


Craig County


Emporia City


Norton City


Manassas Park City


Bland County Highland County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/01/2024 10:41 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bland County, Highland County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.