Return to Home Mortality > Table > Interpret

Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Texas Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Sorted by rate

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Texas


Polk County


Baylor County


Knox County


Anderson County


Crockett County


Dimmit County


Real County


Hamilton County


Nolan County


San Augustine County


Madison County


Delta County


Hansford County


Runnels County


Red River County


Trinity County


Refugio County


Cass County


Robertson County


Crane County


Childress County


Young County


Coke County


Jasper County


Terry County


Newton County


Lampasas County


Shelby County


Wheeler County


Palo Pinto County


Coleman County


Henderson County


Fisher County


Morris County


Bosque County


Leon County


Reeves County


Lamar County


McCulloch County


Jack County


Camp County


San Jacinto County


Grayson County


Matagorda County


Ector County


Wilbarger County


Wichita County


Eastland County


Liberty County


Aransas County


Hill County


Kimble County


Howard County


Cochran County


Rains County


Jim Hogg County


Stephens County


Jim Wells County


Scurry County


Wood County


Crosby County


Coryell County


Panola County


Potter County


Zavala County


Hopkins County


Bowie County


Calhoun County


Mason County


Karnes County


Brown County


Lavaca County


Caldwell County


Johnson County


San Patricio County


Upshur County


Dawson County


Orange County


Kaufman County


Sutton County


Hunt County


Gregg County


La Salle County


Colorado County


Mills County


Fannin County


Uvalde County


Angelina County


Bee County


Lipscomb County


Nacogdoches County


Navarro County


Sabine County


Wise County


Hardin County


Lubbock County


Rusk County


Montague County


Galveston County


Gray County


Mitchell County


Taylor County


Titus County


Milam County


Limestone County


Jones County


Clay County


Lynn County


Chambers County


Cherokee County


Winkler County


Brazoria County


Jefferson County


Swisher County


Freestone County


Ellis County


DeWitt County


Burleson County


Hockley County


Cooke County


Kinney County


Van Zandt County


Tyler County


Parker County


Callahan County


Bell County


McLennan County


Wharton County


Lamb County


Kerr County


San Saba County


Smith County


Marion County


Austin County


Falls County


Jackson County


Waller County


Franklin County


Lee County


Walker County


Gonzales County


Wilson County


Victoria County


Zapata County


Llano County


Somervell County


Houston County


Kleberg County


Bandera County


Floyd County


Atascosa County


Burnet County


Haskell County


Parmer County


Grimes County


Harrison County


Erath County


Starr County


Carson County


Hood County


Willacy County


Randall County


Frio County


Goliad County


Tarrant County


Dallas County


Garza County


Hutchinson County


Duval County


Webb County


Comal County


Ward County


Bexar County


Moore County


Blanco County


Hardeman County


Gaines County


Maverick County


Comanche County


Medina County


Tom Green County


Montgomery County


Dallam County


Nueces County


Rockwall County


Fayette County


Hays County


Guadalupe County


Kendall County


Martin County


Live Oak County


Val Verde County


Midland County


Hale County


Brazos County


Washington County


Deaf Smith County


Harris County


Archer County


Andrews County


Bastrop County


El Paso County


Brooks County


Pecos County


Cameron County


Gillespie County


Williamson County


Castro County


Denton County


Collin County


Fort Bend County


Hall County


Hidalgo County


Travis County


Yoakum County


Donley County


Brewster County


Bailey County Collingsworth County Concho County Edwards County Hartley County Hudspeth County Jeff Davis County Ochiltree County Presidio County Reagan County Armstrong County Borden County Briscoe County Cottle County Culberson County Dickens County Foard County Glasscock County Hemphill County Irion County Kenedy County Kent County King County Loving County McMullen County Menard County Motley County Oldham County Roberts County Schleicher County Shackelford County Sherman County Sterling County Stonewall County Terrell County Throckmorton County Upton County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/17/2026 5:23 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Armstrong County, Borden County, Briscoe County, Cottle County, Culberson County, Dickens County, Foard County, Glasscock County, Hemphill County, Irion County, Kenedy County, Kent County, King County, Loving County, McMullen County, Menard County, Motley County, Oldham County, Roberts County, Schleicher County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Terrell County, Throckmorton County, Upton County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bailey County, Collingsworth County, Concho County, Edwards County, Hartley County, Hudspeth County, Jeff Davis County, Ochiltree County, Presidio County, Reagan County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.