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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Sorted by rate

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Galax City


Martinsville City


Covington City


Petersburg City


Lexington City


Franklin City


Hopewell City


Norton City


Fairfax City


Danville City


Northampton County


Dickenson County


Halifax County with South Boston City


Salem City


Colonial Heights City


Richmond County


Bristol City


Waynesboro City


Norfolk City


Tazewell County


Warren County


Amelia County


King and Queen County


Greensville County


Giles County


Sussex County


Staunton City


Smyth County


Wise County


Gloucester County


Lancaster County


Lynchburg City


Portsmouth City


Radford City


Hampton City


Newport News City


Roanoke City


Charlotte County


Nottoway County


Prince Edward County


Lunenburg County


Page County


Westmoreland County


Brunswick County


Buckingham County


Scott County


Nelson County


Cumberland County


Essex County


Accomack County


Emporia City


Buena Vista City


Shenandoah County


Russell County


Isle of Wight County


Orange County


Suffolk City


Mecklenburg County


Poquoson City


Buchanan County


Pittsylvania County


Dinwiddie County


Wythe County


Appomattox County


Surry County


Floyd County


Campbell County


Lee County


Chesapeake City


Caroline County


Madison County


Culpeper County


Henry County


Patrick County


Southampton County


Bedford City and County


New Kent County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Amherst County


Charles City County


Middlesex County


Harrisonburg City


Goochland County


King William County


Winchester City


Frederick County


Grayson County


Craig County


Bath County


Clarke County


Louisa County


Chesterfield County


Henrico County


Washington County


Pulaski County


Virginia Beach City


Greene County


Richmond City


Spotsylvania County


Rockingham County


Mathews County


Carroll County


James City County


Roanoke County


King George County


Fauquier County


Franklin County


Montgomery County


Fredericksburg City


Stafford County


Falls Church City


Manassas City


Hanover County


Powhatan County


Botetourt County


Prince George County


Fluvanna County


Charlottesville City


Augusta County


Northumberland County


Rockbridge County


Rappahannock County


Prince William County


Albemarle County


York County


Loudoun County


Alexandria City


Fairfax County


Arlington County


Williamsburg City


Manassas Park City


Bland County Highland County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/01/2024 3:04 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bland County, Highland County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.