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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Female

Sorted by count

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Fairfax County


Virginia Beach City


Henrico County


Chesterfield County


Prince William County


Chesapeake City


Loudoun County


Norfolk City


Newport News City


Richmond City


Hampton City


Roanoke City


Hanover County


Arlington County


Spotsylvania County


Roanoke County


Portsmouth City


Stafford County


Alexandria City


Albemarle County


Frederick County


Bedford City and County


James City County


Rockingham County


Suffolk City


Augusta County


Lynchburg City


Pittsylvania County


Danville City


Washington County


Henry County


Fauquier County


Montgomery County


Franklin County


Campbell County


Tazewell County


York County


Shenandoah County


Halifax County with South Boston City


Wise County


Culpeper County


Mecklenburg County


Orange County


Petersburg City


Smyth County


Gloucester County


Accomack County


Isle of Wight County


Warren County


Carroll County


Louisa County


Wythe County


Pulaski County


Amherst County


Russell County


Staunton City


Botetourt County


Charlottesville City


Lee County


Salem City


Fairfax City


Buchanan County


Dinwiddie County


Prince George County


Page County


Patrick County


Scott County


Rockbridge County


Waynesboro City


Caroline County


Harrisonburg City


Manassas City


Bristol City


Goochland County


New Kent County


Hopewell City


Fluvanna County


Colonial Heights City


Powhatan County


Winchester City


Giles County


Prince Edward County


Westmoreland County


King George County


Lancaster County


Grayson County


Fredericksburg City


Brunswick County


Nottoway County


Buckingham County


Dickenson County


Northumberland County


Nelson County


Appomattox County


Martinsville City


King William County


Southampton County


Floyd County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Clarke County


Amelia County


Middlesex County


Falls Church City


Greene County


Lunenburg County


Northampton County


Madison County


Greensville County


Williamsburg City


Charlotte County


Poquoson City


Sussex County


Essex County


Mathews County


Galax City


Franklin City


Cumberland County


Richmond County


Radford City


Charles City County


King and Queen County


Rappahannock County


Surry County


Buena Vista City


Bland County


Craig County


Covington City


Norton City


Emporia City


Lexington City


Manassas Park City


Bath County


Highland County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/16/2026 10:10 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Highland County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.