State Cancer Profiles > Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Pennsylvania Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Female

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index ¹ - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

United States

Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.0.
Rate : The death rate is 126.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 126.1 to 126.6 and 287,034 average annual deaths.

Pennsylvania

Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.3.
Rate : The death rate is 131.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.2 to 132.3 and 13,265 average annual deaths.

Centre County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 112.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 102.9 to 122.6 and 109 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Pike County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 110.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.8 to 124.8 and 59 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Union County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 95.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 80.7 to 111.9 and 33 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8

Allegheny County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 130.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 126.9 to 133.5 and 1,331 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Armstrong County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 129.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.9 to 144.6 and 74 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Beaver County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 133.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.0 to 142.8 and 200 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Bedford County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 122.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 107.9 to 139.9 and 53 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Berks County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 124.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.2 to 130.7 and 393 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Bradford County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.1 to -2.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 131.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.8 to 147.2 and 65 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Butler County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 122.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.8 to 131.2 and 192 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Cambria County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 135.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.8 to 145.8 and 166 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Chester County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 114.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 109.8 to 119.6 and 441 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Clinton County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 116.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 98.9 to 136.6 and 34 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Crawford County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 137.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.5 to 151.4 and 97 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Cumberland County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 124.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.1 to 131.6 and 247 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Dauphin County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 129.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 121.9 to 136.3 and 268 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Delaware County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 135.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.5 to 140.8 and 571 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Erie County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.0 to -1.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 137.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.9 to 145.0 and 282 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Fulton County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -20.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -37.0 to -0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 111.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 86.2 to 144.1 and 14 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Indiana County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 124.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.8 to 138.2 and 79 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Lackawanna County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 138.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.4 to 146.4 and 254 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Lancaster County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 119.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.1 to 124.9 and 518 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Lawrence County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 135.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 123.2 to 147.9 and 107 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Lebanon County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 120.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.3 to 129.9 and 144 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Lehigh County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 125.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.0 to 131.3 and 344 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

McKean County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 144.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.3 to 166.0 and 45 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Mercer County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 136.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.3 to 147.9 and 133 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Mifflin County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 134.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 118.2 to 152.3 and 54 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Montgomery County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 118.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.0 to 122.7 and 800 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Northampton County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.5 to -2.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 127.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.9 to 133.9 and 327 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Potter County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -1.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 131.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.4 to 164.3 and 20 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Somerset County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 125.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 112.6 to 139.1 and 80 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Sullivan County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -34.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -51.3 to -6.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 125.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 87.3 to 185.2 and 8 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Venango County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 132.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.6 to 149.5 and 60 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Wayne County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -0.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 143.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 126.7 to 161.6 and 62 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Westmoreland County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.1 to -1.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 128.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 122.9 to 134.5 and 428 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

York County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 134.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.3 to 140.7 and 459 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Adams County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 124.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 113.5 to 136.1 and 105 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Blair County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 5.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 9.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 138.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 127.5 to 149.3 and 140 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Bucks County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 1.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 123.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.5 to 128.3 and 656 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Clearfield County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 133.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.7 to 147.5 and 88 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Columbia County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 134.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.8 to 150.2 and 68 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Franklin County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 2.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 138.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.3 to 148.6 and 173 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Huntingdon County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 136.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 119.7 to 156.5 and 50 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Monroe County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 133.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 124.1 to 143.3 and 162 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Montour County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 134.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 107.7 to 165.7 and 21 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Snyder County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 133.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.8 to 154.3 and 42 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Warren County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 142.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 123.4 to 163.4 and 47 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Carbon County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 148.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.7 to 164.5 and 81 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Luzerne County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 141.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 135.0 to 148.4 and 376 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Lycoming County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 145.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 134.3 to 158.0 and 131 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Philadelphia County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 143.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.4 to 147.2 and 1,446 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Schuylkill County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 155.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 145.5 to 166.7 and 186 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Washington County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 140.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.7 to 149.2 and 250 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Clarion County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 1.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 158.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.5 to 183.0 and 45 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Elk County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 150.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.2 to 174.7 and 41 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Fayette County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 145.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 135.3 to 156.7 and 161 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Greene County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 161.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.3 to 186.1 and 44 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Jefferson County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 145.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 127.5 to 165.7 and 53 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Juniata County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 1.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 154.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.4 to 184.4 and 28 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Northumberland County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 147.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 134.9 to 161.0 and 113 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Perry County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 159.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.6 to 181.1 and 54 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Susquehanna County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 145.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 127.0 to 165.6 and 51 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Tioga County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 155.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 135.7 to 177.0 and 52 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Wyoming County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 2.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 168.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.7 to 196.4 and 36 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Forest County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 4.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 209.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 148.2 to 337.7 and 10 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.7

Cameron County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
Recent Trend(2) : **
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 131.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 80.5 to 209.8 and 6 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/13/2026 9:13 am.

Trend²
Rising

when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable

when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling

when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above

when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio³ > 1.10
Similar

when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below

when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio³ < 0.90

** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
¹ Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
² Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
³ Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Cameron County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.

State Cancer Profiles