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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Female

Sorted by rate

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Norton City


Galax City


Fairfax City


Greensville County


Danville City


Wise County


Martinsville City


Petersburg City


Lee County


Buchanan County


Franklin City


Smyth County


Russell County


Dickenson County


Sussex County


Patrick County


Roanoke City


Waynesboro City


Nottoway County


Tazewell County


Hopewell City


Portsmouth City


Wythe County


New Kent County


Giles County


Salem City


Halifax County with South Boston City


Bristol City


Colonial Heights City


Falls Church City


Prince Edward County


Orange County


Buckingham County


Brunswick County


Scott County


Norfolk City


Staunton City


Washington County


Lynchburg City


Mathews County


Mecklenburg County


Newport News City


Henry County


Appomattox County


Cumberland County


Craig County


King William County


Amelia County


Fredericksburg City


Lancaster County


Grayson County


Dinwiddie County


Warren County


Shenandoah County


Page County


King George County


Manassas City


Accomack County


Hampton City


Prince George County


Gloucester County


Chesapeake City


Bath County


Pittsylvania County


Hanover County


Emporia City


Radford City


Charlottesville City


Buena Vista City


Richmond County


Fauquier County


Amherst County


Isle of Wight County


Covington City


Culpeper County


Carroll County


Lunenburg County


Frederick County


Suffolk City


Essex County


Henrico County


King and Queen County


Franklin County


Williamsburg City


Poquoson City


Surry County


Bedford City and County


Charlotte County


Nelson County


Floyd County


Caroline County


Louisa County


Stafford County


Madison County


Northumberland County


Rockbridge County


Virginia Beach City


Pulaski County


Chesterfield County


Middlesex County


Spotsylvania County


Bland County


Clarke County


Augusta County


Richmond City


Rockingham County


Harrisonburg City


Charles City County


Campbell County


Roanoke County


Winchester City


Southampton County


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Westmoreland County


Montgomery County


Goochland County


Prince William County


Rappahannock County


Botetourt County


Lexington City


York County


Fluvanna County


Alexandria City


Northampton County


James City County


Loudoun County


Greene County


Powhatan County


Arlington County


Albemarle County


Fairfax County


Manassas Park City


Highland County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/17/2026 5:51 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Highland County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.