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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Virginia Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Female

Sorted by trend

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Virginia


Danville City


Falls Church City


Craig County


Augusta County


Fairfax City


Lexington City


Salem City


Greensville County


Martinsville City


Buchanan County


Norton City


Covington City


Franklin City


Patrick County


Tazewell County


Floyd County


Roanoke City


Appomattox County


Bristol City


Henry County


Dickenson County


Halifax County with South Boston City


Lee County


Page County


Botetourt County


Colonial Heights City


Franklin County


Lynchburg City


Nelson County


Smyth County


Wise County


Wythe County


Carroll County


Petersburg City


Russell County


Sussex County


Essex County


Lancaster County


Mecklenburg County


Northumberland County


Giles County


Shenandoah County


Amherst County


Rappahannock County


Staunton City


Waynesboro City


Williamsburg City


Bland County


Hanover County


Newport News City


Nottoway County


Richmond County


Roanoke County


Scott County


Warren County


Washington County


Buckingham County


Charlotte County


Gloucester County


King William County


New Kent County


Pittsylvania County


Prince George County


Isle of Wight County


Portsmouth City


Bedford City and County


Cumberland County


Harrisonburg City


Henrico County


Madison County


Prince Edward County


Accomack County


Amelia County


Hampton City


James City County


Middlesex County


Norfolk City


Orange County


Fauquier County


King and Queen County


Lunenburg County


Mathews County


Rockingham County


Caroline County


Charlottesville City


Chesapeake City


Dinwiddie County


Frederick County


Grayson County


Hopewell City


Montgomery County


Rockbridge County


Spotsylvania County


Chesterfield County


Greene County


Louisa County


Stafford County


Virginia Beach City


Culpeper County


Southampton County


Buena Vista City


Campbell County


Emporia City


Manassas City


Pulaski County


Radford City


Poquoson City


Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City


Brunswick County


Clarke County


Albemarle County


Alexandria City


Fredericksburg City


Suffolk City


Surry County


Winchester City


Fairfax County


Prince William County


Charles City County


King George County


Loudoun County


Westmoreland County


York County


Arlington County


Goochland County


Richmond City


Powhatan County


Northampton County


Manassas Park City


Galax City


Fluvanna County


Bath County


Highland County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/17/2026 5:36 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Highland County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.