Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
New Jersey Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.
- Rate : The death rate is 149.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.3 to 149.6 and 599,666 average annual deaths.
New Jersey
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.
- Rate : The death rate is 141.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.0 to 142.0 and 15,985 average annual deaths.
Cape May County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.2 to 180.8 and 298 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Cumberland County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 186.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.2 to 195.6 and 329 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Gloucester County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 167.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.3 to 173.6 and 600 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Salem County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 183.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.1 to 197.2 and 165 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Monmouth County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to 2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 139.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 136.2 to 143.5 and 1,200 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Atlantic County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 157.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.1 to 163.9 and 576 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Burlington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 152.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 148.2 to 157.3 and 913 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Camden County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 163.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.8 to 168.0 and 1,012 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Essex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.7 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 136.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.6 to 139.6 and 1,200 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Mercer County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 142.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.0 to 147.1 and 640 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Ocean County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 157.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.1 to 161.4 and 1,573 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Passaic County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 134.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.3 to 138.9 and 780 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Sussex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 155.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 147.1 to 163.8 and 291 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Warren County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 155.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.6 to 165.1 and 235 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Bergen County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 127.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 124.4 to 130.1 and 1,637 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Hudson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 121.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.7 to 125.4 and 799 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Hunterdon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 127.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.3 to 135.8 and 229 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Middlesex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 131.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 127.9 to 134.4 and 1,294 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Morris County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 128.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.0 to 132.9 and 868 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Somerset County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to -2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 118.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.0 to 123.6 and 506 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Union County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 130.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 126.4 to 134.5 and 843 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 2:32 pm.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.