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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

North Carolina Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


North Carolina


Cleveland County


McDowell County


Rutherford County


Surry County


Swain County


Alamance County


Anson County


Bertie County


Bladen County


Caldwell County


Carteret County


Caswell County


Columbus County


Craven County


Cumberland County


Davidson County


Edgecombe County


Franklin County


Gaston County


Granville County


Halifax County


Harnett County


Hoke County


Lenoir County


Nash County


Onslow County


Pasquotank County


Person County


Randolph County


Richmond County


Robeson County


Rockingham County


Rowan County


Sampson County


Scotland County


Stokes County


Vance County


Washington County


Wayne County


Yadkin County


Hyde County


Jones County


Madison County


Tyrrell County


Yancey County


Alexander County


Alleghany County


Ashe County


Avery County


Beaufort County


Brunswick County


Buncombe County


Burke County


Cabarrus County


Camden County


Catawba County


Cherokee County


Chowan County


Clay County


Currituck County


Dare County


Davie County


Duplin County


Durham County


Forsyth County


Gates County


Graham County


Greene County


Guilford County


Haywood County


Henderson County


Hertford County


Iredell County


Jackson County


Johnston County


Lee County


Lincoln County


Macon County


Martin County


Mitchell County


Montgomery County


Moore County


New Hanover County


Northampton County


Pamlico County


Pender County


Perquimans County


Pitt County


Stanly County


Union County


Warren County


Wilkes County


Wilson County


Chatham County


Mecklenburg County


Orange County


Polk County


Transylvania County


Wake County


Watauga County




Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 2:11 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.