Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Oregon Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.
- Rate : The death rate is 149.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.3 to 149.6 and 599,666 average annual deaths.
Oregon
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.
- Rate : The death rate is 150.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.1 to 152.1 and 8,137 average annual deaths.
Clatsop County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 168.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.2 to 184.5 and 101 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Columbia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 165.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.3 to 179.7 and 123 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Coos County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 180.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 169.1 to 192.6 and 209 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Curry County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 182.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.4 to 202.3 and 95 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Douglas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 176.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.2 to 185.7 and 352 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Josephine County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 179.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.2 to 190.1 and 286 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Klamath County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 183.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.7 to 196.7 and 182 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Lincoln County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.8 to 185.4 and 157 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Linn County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 172.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 164.0 to 182.2 and 298 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Tillamook County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 180.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.6 to 200.2 and 84 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Crook County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 161.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.2 to 181.3 and 65 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Grant County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 11.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.5 to 33.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 145.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.9 to 180.3 and 22 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Hood River County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.1 to 9.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 133.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.9 to 154.7 and 38 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Jefferson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 150.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 131.3 to 171.2 and 49 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Malheur County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 168.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.8 to 188.2 and 64 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Wheeler County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 130.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.9 to 221.5 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Gilliam County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 97.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 58.6 to 164.4 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Baker County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 157.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.0 to 180.1 and 47 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Clackamas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 146.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.5 to 150.8 and 802 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Harney County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 141.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 113.0 to 176.1 and 18 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Jackson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 149.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.1 to 155.1 and 514 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Lake County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 161.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.0 to 196.7 and 23 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Lane County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 153.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 148.4 to 158.2 and 800 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Marion County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 154.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.0 to 160.0 and 627 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Morrow County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 128.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 102.9 to 158.5 and 19 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Multnomah County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 149.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.0 to 153.7 and 1,250 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Polk County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 149.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 139.3 to 160.5 and 164 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Sherman County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 106.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 59.3 to 186.4 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Umatilla County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 161.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 150.0 to 174.1 and 146 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Union County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 154.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 136.6 to 174.1 and 60 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Wasco County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 167.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.6 to 187.6 and 66 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Yamhill County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 144.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 135.7 to 154.2 and 200 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Benton County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 127.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.9 to 137.7 and 138 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Deschutes County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 126.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.4 to 133.1 and 334 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Wallowa County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 120.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 94.2 to 152.9 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Washington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 125.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 121.9 to 130.0 and 776 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/05/2024 10:41 pm.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.