Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Oregon Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Male
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.0.
- Rate : The death rate is 177.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.2 to 177.8 and 315,770 average annual deaths.
Oregon
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.
- Rate : The death rate is 174.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.6 to 176.4 and 4,271 average annual deaths.
Grant County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 2.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 22.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 47.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 194.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 148.0 to 255.3 and 14 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Coos County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 204.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 186.7 to 222.8 and 112 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Douglas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 203.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 190.0 to 217.1 and 191 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Josephine County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 212.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 197.3 to 228.7 and 157 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Klamath County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 210.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 191.5 to 230.8 and 98 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Linn County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 201.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 187.3 to 216.2 and 161 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Baker County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 178.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 148.5 to 214.6 and 26 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Clackamas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 167.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.5 to 175.5 and 410 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Clatsop County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 183.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.6 to 209.5 and 50 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Columbia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 191.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.7 to 214.2 and 67 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Crook County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 188.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.2 to 219.6 and 39 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Curry County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 183.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.3 to 212.5 and 47 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Harney County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 179.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.1 to 239.4 and 11 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Hood River County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 160.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.5 to 196.4 and 20 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Jackson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.0 to 180.9 and 269 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Jefferson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 166.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 138.1 to 199.5 and 26 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Lake County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 164.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.3 to 214.3 and 12 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Lane County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 179.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.4 to 187.1 and 425 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Lincoln County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 190.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.5 to 211.4 and 81 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Malheur County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 175.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.5 to 205.6 and 32 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Marion County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 179.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.2 to 188.1 and 324 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Morrow County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to -1.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 151.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 112.6 to 199.2 and 11 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Multnomah County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 174.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.6 to 181.4 and 644 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Polk County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 178.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.0 to 196.2 and 89 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Tillamook County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 187.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.2 to 215.5 and 44 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Umatilla County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 185.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 167.2 to 204.7 and 80 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Union County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 183.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.0 to 215.2 and 33 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Wasco County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 188.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.3 to 220.0 and 36 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Yamhill County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 170.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.5 to 186.4 and 108 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Benton County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 156.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.1 to 173.9 and 77 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Deschutes County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 144.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 134.9 to 154.9 and 177 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Wallowa County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 122.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 89.0 to 169.9 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Washington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 145.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 138.4 to 151.9 and 382 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 217.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 127.0 to 399.2 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/28/2024 9:09 pm.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Gilliam County, Sherman County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Wheeler County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.