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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2015-2019

Texas Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Texas


Smith County


Anderson County


Coleman County


DeWitt County


Delta County


Duval County


Gaines County


Goliad County


Hamilton County


Nolan County


Polk County


Trinity County


Wise County


Young County


Aransas County


Bell County


Bowie County


Brown County


Cass County


Chambers County


Coryell County


Ector County


Galveston County


Grayson County


Gregg County


Hardin County


Henderson County


Hill County


Hunt County


Jasper County


Johnson County


Kaufman County


Lamar County


Lee County


Leon County


Liberty County


Limestone County


Matagorda County


Morris County


Navarro County


Orange County


Potter County


Robertson County


San Patricio County


Shelby County


Taylor County


Upshur County


Wichita County


Baylor County


Blanco County


Bosque County


Brooks County


Crane County


Crosby County


Dallam County


Dawson County


Deaf Smith County


Donley County


Fisher County


Franklin County


Frio County


Hall County


Hansford County


Hardeman County


Haskell County


Jackson County


Jim Hogg County


Jones County


Karnes County


Kimble County


Kinney County


Knox County


Lamb County


Lynn County


Marion County


Maverick County


Milam County


Mills County


Mitchell County


Red River County


Refugio County


Schleicher County


Sherman County


Starr County


Swisher County


Wheeler County


Winkler County


Yoakum County


Zapata County


Zavala County


Brewster County


Willacy County


Andrews County


Angelina County


Archer County


Atascosa County


Austin County


Bailey County


Bandera County


Bastrop County


Bee County


Bexar County


Brazoria County


Burleson County


Burnet County


Caldwell County


Calhoun County


Callahan County


Camp County


Castro County


Cherokee County


Childress County


Clay County


Coke County


Comal County


Comanche County


Cooke County


Dallas County


Dimmit County


Eastland County


Ellis County


Erath County


Falls County


Fannin County


Floyd County


Freestone County


Garza County


Gillespie County


Gonzales County


Gray County


Grimes County


Guadalupe County


Hale County


Harris County


Harrison County


Hays County


Hockley County


Hood County


Hopkins County


Houston County


Howard County


Hutchinson County


Jack County


Jefferson County


Jim Wells County


Kerr County


Kleberg County


La Salle County


Lampasas County


Lavaca County


Lipscomb County


Llano County


Lubbock County


Madison County


Mason County


McCulloch County


McLennan County


Medina County


Midland County


Montague County


Montgomery County


Moore County


Nacogdoches County


Newton County


Nueces County


Palo Pinto County


Panola County


Parker County


Parmer County


Pecos County


Rains County


Randall County


Real County


Reeves County


Runnels County


Rusk County


Sabine County


San Augustine County


San Jacinto County


San Saba County


Scurry County


Shackelford County


Somervell County


Stephens County


Sutton County


Tarrant County


Terry County


Titus County


Tom Green County


Tyler County


Upton County


Uvalde County


Val Verde County


Van Zandt County


Victoria County


Walker County


Waller County


Ward County


Washington County


Wharton County


Wilbarger County


Wilson County


Wood County


Brazos County


Cameron County


Collin County


Colorado County


Denton County


El Paso County


Fayette County


Fort Bend County


Hidalgo County


Kendall County


Live Oak County


Ochiltree County


Rockwall County


Travis County


Webb County


Williamson County


Armstrong County Carson County Concho County Crockett County Edwards County Hartley County Hemphill County Martin County Presidio County Reagan County Stonewall County Borden County Briscoe County Cochran County Collingsworth County Cottle County Culberson County Dickens County Foard County Glasscock County Hudspeth County Irion County Jeff Davis County Kenedy County Kent County King County Loving County McMullen County Menard County Motley County Oldham County Roberts County Sterling County Terrell County Throckmorton County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/02/2021 7:47 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Borden County, Briscoe County, Cochran County, Collingsworth County, Cottle County, Culberson County, Dickens County, Foard County, Glasscock County, Hudspeth County, Irion County, Jeff Davis County, Kenedy County, Kent County, King County, Loving County, McMullen County, Menard County, Motley County, Oldham County, Roberts County, Sterling County, Terrell County, Throckmorton County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Armstrong County, Carson County, Concho County, Crockett County, Edwards County, Hartley County, Hemphill County, Martin County, Presidio County, Reagan County, Stonewall County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.