Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Vermont Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Male
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.0.
- Rate : The death rate is 177.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.2 to 177.8 and 315,770 average annual deaths.
Vermont
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.
- Rate : The death rate is 185.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 178.9 to 191.3 and 742 average annual deaths.
Bennington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 204.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 180.4 to 231.5 and 54 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Franklin County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 237.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 211.1 to 265.8 and 65 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Rutland County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 199.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 180.0 to 219.7 and 87 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Washington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 180.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.3 to 202.0 and 67 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Addison County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 164.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.6 to 190.2 and 40 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Caledonia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 181.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.0 to 210.5 and 38 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Chittenden County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 169.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.4 to 182.7 and 137 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Essex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 203.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.0 to 271.5 and 12 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Grand Isle County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 200.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.7 to 273.7 and 10 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Lamoille County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 191.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.4 to 226.4 and 30 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Orange County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 145.4 to 200.7 and 35 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Orleans County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 196.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.6 to 228.7 and 38 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Windham County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 185.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.8 to 210.0 and 56 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Windsor County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.2 to 190.9 and 73 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 12:37 am.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.