Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
New Jersey Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Female
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.7.
- Rate : The death rate is 128.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.5 to 129.0 and 283,896 average annual deaths.
New Jersey
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.9.
- Rate : The death rate is 126.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.2 to 127.7 and 8,099 average annual deaths.
Camden County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 143.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.6 to 149.1 and 504 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Cape May County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 153.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.1 to 165.8 and 145 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Cumberland County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 171.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.5 to 183.6 and 166 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Gloucester County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 151.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.8 to 159.5 and 305 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Salem County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 159.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.9 to 177.2 and 80 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Warren County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 146.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 134.3 to 158.6 and 123 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Bergen County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.5 to 0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 114.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 110.5 to 117.7 and 829 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Atlantic County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 140.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.3 to 148.6 and 285 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Burlington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 135.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.9 to 141.3 and 458 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Essex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 123.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 118.8 to 127.6 and 630 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Hunterdon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 124.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.7 to 135.7 and 120 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Mercer County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 127.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 121.1 to 134.0 and 323 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Middlesex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 117.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 113.7 to 121.9 and 655 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Monmouth County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 125.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.8 to 130.0 and 609 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Morris County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 116.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.1 to 121.2 and 439 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Ocean County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 141.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 136.5 to 145.9 and 795 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Passaic County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 116.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.3 to 122.0 and 384 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Sussex County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 138.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.3 to 149.9 and 140 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Union County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 120.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.4 to 125.8 and 443 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Hudson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 108.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 103.7 to 113.3 and 407 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Somerset County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 106.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 100.6 to 112.7 and 257 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 2:57 am.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.