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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2015-2019

Texas Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Female

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Texas


Kleberg County


Cherokee County


Baylor County


Bee County


Callahan County


Coryell County


Fannin County


Hamilton County


Hill County


Hutchinson County


Matagorda County


McCulloch County


Mitchell County


Montague County


Polk County


Trinity County


Bowie County


Ector County


Grayson County


Johnson County


Kaufman County


Liberty County


Orange County


Parker County


Potter County


San Patricio County


Wichita County


Andrews County


Austin County


Bailey County


Blanco County


Bosque County


Brooks County


Brown County


Caldwell County


Carson County


Cass County


Castro County


Childress County


Clay County


Coleman County


Cooke County


Crosby County


Dawson County


DeWitt County


Deaf Smith County


Delta County


Donley County


Eastland County


Falls County


Fisher County


Floyd County


Franklin County


Freestone County


Frio County


Gaines County


Goliad County


Gonzales County


Gray County


Grimes County


Hale County


Hall County


Hansford County


Hartley County


Haskell County


Hockley County


Houston County


Hunt County


Jack County


Jackson County


Jim Hogg County


Jones County


Karnes County


Kimble County


Kinney County


La Salle County


Lamb County


Lampasas County


Lavaca County


Lee County


Leon County


Live Oak County


Llano County


Lynn County


Madison County


Marion County


Mason County


Maverick County


Milam County


Mills County


Moore County


Morris County


Nacogdoches County


Navarro County


Newton County


Nolan County


Ochiltree County


Panola County


Refugio County


Runnels County


Sabine County


San Augustine County


San Jacinto County


San Saba County


Scurry County


Somervell County


Stephens County


Sutton County


Swisher County


Terry County


Upton County


Van Zandt County


Wheeler County


Wilbarger County


Willacy County


Wilson County


Winkler County


Wise County


Yoakum County


Zavala County


Comanche County


Dimmit County


Fayette County


Starr County


Anderson County


Angelina County


Aransas County


Bandera County


Bastrop County


Bell County


Bexar County


Brazoria County


Brewster County


Burleson County


Burnet County


Calhoun County


Camp County


Chambers County


Colorado County


Comal County


Dallam County


Dallas County


Duval County


Ellis County


Erath County


Galveston County


Gregg County


Guadalupe County


Hardin County


Harris County


Harrison County


Hays County


Henderson County


Hood County


Hopkins County


Howard County


Jasper County


Jefferson County


Jim Wells County


Kerr County


Lamar County


Limestone County


Lubbock County


McLennan County


Midland County


Montgomery County


Palo Pinto County


Rains County


Randall County


Red River County


Reeves County


Robertson County


Rockwall County


Rusk County


Shelby County


Tarrant County


Taylor County


Titus County


Tom Green County


Tyler County


Upshur County


Uvalde County


Val Verde County


Victoria County


Waller County


Ward County


Washington County


Wharton County


Wood County


Young County


Atascosa County


Brazos County


Cameron County


Collin County


Denton County


El Paso County


Fort Bend County


Gillespie County


Hidalgo County


Kendall County


Medina County


Nueces County


Pecos County


Smith County


Travis County


Walker County


Webb County


Williamson County


Archer County Coke County Garza County Knox County Martin County Parmer County Real County Armstrong County Borden County Briscoe County Cochran County Collingsworth County Concho County Cottle County Crane County Crockett County Culberson County Dickens County Edwards County Foard County Glasscock County Hardeman County Hemphill County Hudspeth County Irion County Jeff Davis County Kenedy County Kent County King County Lipscomb County Loving County McMullen County Menard County Motley County Oldham County Presidio County Reagan County Roberts County Schleicher County Shackelford County Sherman County Sterling County Stonewall County Terrell County Throckmorton County Zapata County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/02/2021 8:52 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Armstrong County, Borden County, Briscoe County, Cochran County, Collingsworth County, Concho County, Cottle County, Crane County, Crockett County, Culberson County, Dickens County, Edwards County, Foard County, Glasscock County, Hardeman County, Hemphill County, Hudspeth County, Irion County, Jeff Davis County, Kenedy County, Kent County, King County, Lipscomb County, Loving County, McMullen County, Menard County, Motley County, Oldham County, Presidio County, Reagan County, Roberts County, Schleicher County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Terrell County, Throckmorton County, Zapata County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Archer County, Coke County, Garza County, Knox County, Martin County, Parmer County, Real County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.