Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Utah Counties versus United States
All Cancer Sites
All Races, Female
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.7.
- Rate : The death rate is 128.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.5 to 129.0 and 283,896 average annual deaths.
Utah
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.
- Rate : The death rate is 104.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 102.3 to 107.1 and 1,509 average annual deaths.
Beaver County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 2.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 156.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.1 to 238.1 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Carbon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 130.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 103.1 to 162.9 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Duchesne County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 136.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 104.5 to 173.8 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Iron County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 122.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 103.2 to 143.5 and 31 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Juab County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to 0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 97.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 63.4 to 143.4 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Kane County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 164.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.0 to 225.8 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Millard County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 107.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 77.6 to 146.3 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
San Juan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to 0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 110.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 80.0 to 149.6 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Box Elder County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 103.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 87.2 to 121.6 and 30 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Emery County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 97.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 66.2 to 138.7 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Grand County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 108.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 74.7 to 152.8 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Morgan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 105.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 70.0 to 152.1 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Tooele County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 134.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.9 to 155.2 and 37 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Uintah County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 114.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 92.3 to 141.3 and 18 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Wasatch County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 123.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.9 to 154.4 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Cache County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 98.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 86.1 to 111.7 and 48 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Davis County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 99.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 92.5 to 107.1 and 150 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Salt Lake County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 109.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.8 to 113.9 and 587 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Sanpete County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 80.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 61.5 to 104.1 and 12 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Sevier County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 96.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 74.3 to 124.0 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Summit County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 83.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 64.9 to 105.3 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Utah County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 99.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 93.6 to 106.0 and 207 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Washington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 89.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.0 to 97.7 and 116 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Weber County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 104.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.3 to 112.7 and 130 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 149.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 89.0 to 235.2 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/19/2024 12:48 pm.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Daggett County, Piute County, Rich County, Wayne County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Garfield County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.