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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

California Counties versus United States

Oral Cavity & Pharynx

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by priority index
Counties
 sort alphabetically by name ascending
Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest

 sort by priority index descending
Recent Trend2
County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
Average Annual Count
 sort by count descending
Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
 sort by rate descending
Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
 sort by rate descending
Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
 sort by trend descending
United States - rising rising trend - 10,356 2.5 (2.5, 2.6) - 0.4 (0.1, 0.7)
California - falling falling trend - 1,084 2.4 (2.4, 2.5) - -0.4 (-0.8, 0.0)
Humboldt County 4 stable stable trend higher 7 4.0 (2.7, 5.7) 1.6 0.9 (-0.6, 2.5)
San Francisco County 5 falling falling trend higher 33 3.1 (2.6, 3.6) 1.2 -1.5 (-2.3, -0.6)
Alameda County 6 stable stable trend similar 44 2.3 (2.0, 2.6) 0.9 0.7 (-2.1, 3.6)
Contra Costa County 6 stable stable trend similar 34 2.4 (2.0, 2.8) 0.9 21.3 (-2.4, 50.7)
Fresno County 6 stable stable trend similar 23 2.4 (2.0, 2.9) 0.9 -1.0 (-2.0, 0.1)
Merced County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 2.9 (2.1, 4.0) 1.2 -1.0 (-2.3, 0.3)
Monterey County 6 stable stable trend similar 9 2.0 (1.5, 2.7) 0.8 -1.4 (-2.8, 0.0)
Placer County 6 stable stable trend similar 16 2.8 (2.2, 3.5) 1.1 0.1 (-1.5, 1.7)
San Diego County 6 stable stable trend similar 99 2.7 (2.4, 2.9) 1.1 -0.5 (-1.1, 0.0)
San Luis Obispo County 6 stable stable trend similar 10 2.4 (1.7, 3.2) 0.9 -1.1 (-2.4, 0.3)
Santa Barbara County 6 stable stable trend similar 14 2.7 (2.1, 3.4) 1.1 -0.5 (-1.8, 0.9)
Shasta County 6 stable stable trend similar 9 3.3 (2.4, 4.4) 1.3 0.1 (-1.4, 1.5)
Solano County 6 stable stable trend similar 15 2.8 (2.2, 3.5) 1.1 -0.6 (-1.7, 0.5)
Sonoma County 6 stable stable trend similar 15 2.2 (1.7, 2.7) 0.8 -1.0 (-2.3, 0.4)
Stanislaus County 6 stable stable trend similar 15 2.6 (2.1, 3.3) 1.0 0.3 (-0.9, 1.5)
Tulare County 6 stable stable trend similar 12 2.9 (2.2, 3.8) 1.2 -0.8 (-1.9, 0.3)
Ventura County 6 stable stable trend similar 26 2.4 (2.0, 2.9) 0.9 1.2 (-1.3, 3.7)
Butte County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 2.3 (1.6, 3.3) 0.9 -2.0 (-3.5, -0.5)
Kern County 8 falling falling trend similar 20 2.5 (2.0, 3.1) 1.0 -1.4 (-2.5, -0.3)
Marin County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 2.3 (1.7, 3.1) 0.9 -2.1 (-3.5, -0.6)
Napa County 8 falling falling trend similar 4 1.9 (1.2, 3.0) 0.7 -2.2 (-4.0, -0.3)
Riverside County 8 falling falling trend similar 71 2.6 (2.3, 2.8) 1.0 -1.2 (-1.8, -0.6)
Sacramento County 8 falling falling trend similar 49 2.9 (2.5, 3.2) 1.1 -0.8 (-1.5, -0.1)
San Bernardino County 8 falling falling trend similar 54 2.6 (2.3, 2.9) 1.0 -1.5 (-2.0, -0.9)
San Joaquin County 8 falling falling trend similar 20 2.6 (2.1, 3.2) 1.0 -2.2 (-3.2, -1.1)
Yolo County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 2.9 (2.0, 4.1) 1.1 -2.2 (-4.0, -0.4)
Los Angeles County 9 falling falling trend lower 247 2.2 (2.1, 2.3) 0.9 -1.0 (-1.5, -0.4)
Orange County 9 falling falling trend lower 83 2.2 (2.0, 2.4) 0.9 -1.2 (-1.8, -0.7)
San Mateo County 9 falling falling trend lower 20 2.0 (1.6, 2.5) 0.8 -2.7 (-3.6, -1.9)
Santa Clara County 9 falling falling trend lower 43 2.0 (1.7, 2.3) 0.8 -1.6 (-2.2, -1.0)
Santa Cruz County 9 falling falling trend lower 7 1.8 (1.2, 2.6) 0.7 -2.5 (-4.2, -0.8)
El Dorado County
**
** similar 9 3.1 (2.3, 4.2) 1.2
**
Lake County
**
** similar 3 3.0 (1.7, 5.2) 1.2
**
Madera County
**
** similar 4 2.2 (1.3, 3.4) 0.9
**
Nevada County
**
** similar 4 2.0 (1.2, 3.3) 0.8
**
Siskiyou County
**
** higher 4 5.5 (3.3, 8.9) 2.2
**
Tuolumne County
**
** similar 3 3.7 (2.0, 6.5) 1.5
**
Yuba County
**
** higher 4 5.4 (3.3, 8.4) 2.1
**
Alpine County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Amador County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Calaveras County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Colusa County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Del Norte County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Glenn County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Imperial County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Inyo County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Kings County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lassen County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mariposa County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mendocino County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Modoc County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mono County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Plumas County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
San Benito County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Sierra County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Sutter County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Tehama County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Trinity County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/26/2024 4:33 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alpine County, Amador County, Calaveras County, Colusa County, Del Norte County, Glenn County, Imperial County, Inyo County, Kings County, Lassen County, Mariposa County, Mendocino County, Modoc County, Mono County, Plumas County, San Benito County, Sierra County, Sutter County, Tehama County, Trinity County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
El Dorado County, Lake County, Madera County, Nevada County, Siskiyou County, Tuolumne County, Yuba County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

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