Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Table
| Above US Rate | Similar to US Rate | Below US Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Trend |
Priority 1: rising  and above |
Priority 2: rising and similar  Rockingham County Suffolk City |
Priority 3: rising and below  |
| Stable Trend |
Priority 4: stable  and above Frederick County |
Priority 6: stable and similar Albemarle County Campbell County Fauquier County Hampton City Hanover County James City County Lynchburg City Newport News City Norfolk City Roanoke City Stafford County Tazewell County |
Priority 7: stable and below Arlington County Fairfax County Henrico County |
| Falling Trend |
Priority 5: falling and above |
Priority 8: falling and similar Chesapeake City Chesterfield County Portsmouth City Virginia Beach City |
Priority 9: falling and below Loudoun County Prince William County Richmond City |
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Notes: Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/12/2026 6:48 pm. Trend2 Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.901 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate. 2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas. 3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used. Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data. Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable. State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information). Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates: Accomack County, Alexandria City, Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City, Amelia County, Amherst County, Appomattox County, Bath County, Bedford City and County, Bland County, Bristol City, Brunswick County, Buchanan County, Buckingham County, Buena Vista City, Caroline County, Carroll County, Charles City County, Charlotte County, Charlottesville City, Clarke County, Colonial Heights City, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Danville City, Dickenson County, Dinwiddie County, Emporia City, Essex County, Fairfax City, Falls Church City, Floyd County, Fluvanna County, Franklin City, Fredericksburg City, Galax City, Giles County, Goochland County, Grayson County, Greene County, Greensville County, Halifax County with South Boston City, Harrisonburg City, Highland County, Hopewell City, Isle of Wight County, King George County, King William County, King and Queen County, Lancaster County, Lee County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Madison County, Manassas City, Manassas Park City, Martinsville City, Mathews County, Mecklenburg County, Middlesex County, Nelson County, New Kent County, Northampton County, Northumberland County, Norton City, Nottoway County, Orange County, Page County, Patrick County, Poquoson City, Powhatan County, Prince Edward County, Prince George County, Pulaski County, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Rockbridge County, Russell County, Salem City, Scott County, Smyth County, Southampton County, Staunton City, Surry County, Sussex County, Warren County, Washington County, Waynesboro City, Westmoreland County, Williamsburg City, Winchester City, Wythe County, York County Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year: Augusta County, Botetourt County, Culpeper County, Franklin County, Gloucester County, Henry County, Louisa County, Montgomery County, Petersburg City, Pittsylvania County, Roanoke County, Shenandoah County, Spotsylvania County, Wise County Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico. |
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