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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

California Counties versus United States

Esophagus

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by priority index
Counties
sort alphabetically by name ascending 		Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest
sort by priority index descending 		Recent Trend2
 County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
 Average Annual Count
sort by count descending 		Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by rate descending 		Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
sort by rate descending 		Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by trend descending
United States - falling falling trend - 15,567 3.8 (3.8, 3.8) - -1.2 (-1.3, -1.1)
California - falling falling trend - 1,342 3.0 (2.9, 3.1) - -1.5 (-1.7, -1.3)
Shasta County 4 stable stable trend higher 14 5.4 (4.2, 6.9) 1.4 1.2 (-0.3, 2.6)
Butte County 6 stable stable trend similar 13 4.4 (3.4, 5.7) 1.2 -1.5 (-3.2, 0.2)
El Dorado County 6 stable stable trend similar 11 3.6 (2.7, 4.7) 0.9 -1.4 (-2.9, 0.1)
Humboldt County 6 stable stable trend similar 9 5.1 (3.6, 7.0) 1.3 -0.2 (-1.9, 1.5)
Kern County 6 stable stable trend similar 28 3.4 (2.9, 4.0) 0.9 -0.5 (-1.4, 0.4)
Monterey County 6 stable stable trend similar 18 4.1 (3.3, 5.1) 1.1 -0.7 (-1.7, 0.3)
Nevada County 6 stable stable trend similar 10 4.9 (3.5, 6.7) 1.3 -0.6 (-2.3, 1.1)
Placer County 6 stable stable trend similar 21 3.7 (3.0, 4.5) 1.0 -0.2 (-1.1, 0.8)
San Joaquin County 6 stable stable trend similar 27 3.4 (2.8, 4.0) 0.9 -0.5 (-1.0, 0.1)
San Luis Obispo County 6 stable stable trend similar 15 3.6 (2.8, 4.6) 0.9 0.0 (-1.4, 1.3)
Santa Barbara County 6 stable stable trend similar 19 3.5 (2.8, 4.3) 0.9 -0.1 (-1.1, 1.0)
Santa Cruz County 6 stable stable trend similar 12 3.5 (2.7, 4.6) 0.9 -0.7 (-1.7, 0.3)
Sonoma County 6 stable stable trend similar 28 3.8 (3.2, 4.6) 1.0 -0.4 (-1.4, 0.6)
Stanislaus County 6 stable stable trend similar 22 3.9 (3.2, 4.7) 1.0 0.5 (-0.3, 1.2)
Sutter County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 4.8 (3.2, 7.0) 1.3 0.3 (-1.9, 2.4)
Tehama County 6 stable stable trend similar 5 5.5 (3.5, 8.4) 1.5 0.1 (-1.6, 1.7)
Tulare County 6 stable stable trend similar 14 3.3 (2.5, 4.2) 0.9 0.1 (-1.5, 1.7)
Ventura County 6 stable stable trend similar 36 3.5 (3.0, 4.0) 0.9 -0.4 (-1.0, 0.2)
Yolo County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 2.8 (1.9, 4.0) 0.7 -1.1 (-2.5, 0.4)
Fresno County 7 stable stable trend lower 28 2.9 (2.4, 3.4) 0.8 -0.5 (-1.5, 0.5)
San Mateo County 7 stable stable trend lower 27 2.7 (2.3, 3.3) 0.7 -17.2 (-33.6, 3.2)
Napa County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 3.4 (2.3, 4.8) 0.9 -1.9 (-3.5, -0.3)
Riverside County 8 falling falling trend similar 95 3.4 (3.1, 3.8) 0.9 -0.8 (-1.6, 0.0)
Solano County 8 falling falling trend similar 19 3.4 (2.7, 4.2) 0.9 -1.0 (-1.9, 0.0)
Alameda County 9 falling falling trend lower 43 2.4 (2.1, 2.7) 0.6 -2.0 (-2.7, -1.4)
Contra Costa County 9 falling falling trend lower 43 2.9 (2.5, 3.4) 0.8 -1.9 (-2.5, -1.3)
Imperial County 9 falling falling trend lower 4 2.4 (1.4, 3.6) 0.6 -1.9 (-3.6, 0.0)
Los Angeles County 9 falling falling trend lower 255 2.3 (2.2, 2.4) 0.6 -3.5 (-4.9, -2.1)
Marin County 9 falling falling trend lower 13 2.8 (2.2, 3.7) 0.7 -1.8 (-2.8, -0.7)
Merced County 9 falling falling trend lower 6 2.5 (1.7, 3.5) 0.7 -1.8 (-3.4, -0.2)
Orange County 9 falling falling trend lower 105 2.8 (2.6, 3.0) 0.7 -1.8 (-2.5, -1.1)
Sacramento County 9 falling falling trend lower 56 3.2 (2.9, 3.7) 0.9 -1.0 (-1.6, -0.4)
San Bernardino County 9 falling falling trend lower 67 3.2 (2.9, 3.6) 0.9 -2.1 (-3.0, -1.1)
San Diego County 9 falling falling trend lower 119 3.2 (2.9, 3.5) 0.8 -1.4 (-1.9, -0.9)
San Francisco County 9 falling falling trend lower 31 2.8 (2.4, 3.4) 0.8 -1.8 (-2.4, -1.1)
Santa Clara County 9 falling falling trend lower 55 2.6 (2.3, 3.0) 0.7 -1.1 (-1.7, -0.5)
Amador County
**
 		** similar 4 5.3 (3.2, 8.9) 1.4
**
Kings County
**
 		** similar 5 3.8 (2.4, 5.6) 1.0
**
Lake County
**
 		** similar 6 6.0 (4.0, 8.9) 1.6
**
Madera County
**
 		** similar 5 3.1 (2.0, 4.6) 0.8
**
Mendocino County
**
 		** similar 5 3.7 (2.4, 5.6) 1.0
**
Siskiyou County
**
 		** similar 4 5.8 (3.4, 9.6) 1.5
**
Tuolumne County
**
 		** similar 5 5.0 (3.3, 7.6) 1.3
**
Yuba County
**
 		** similar 4 4.8 (2.8, 7.6) 1.3
**
Alpine County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Calaveras County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Colusa County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Del Norte County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Glenn County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Inyo County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lassen County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mariposa County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Modoc County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mono County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Plumas County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
San Benito County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Sierra County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Trinity County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/19/2024 7:27 pm.

Trend2
     Rising    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above    when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar    when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below    when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alpine County, Calaveras County, Colusa County, Del Norte County, Glenn County, Inyo County, Lassen County, Mariposa County, Modoc County, Mono County, Plumas County, San Benito County, Sierra County, Trinity County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Amador County, Kings County, Lake County, Madera County, Mendocino County, Siskiyou County, Tuolumne County, Yuba County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

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